The Rule.

Any horse that ran 33 or 44 in past 2 starts in current campaign.

Results 19/5 - 27/5

102 Bets/ 1 win @$2.45.

Good one Darky, be rare for two losses in a row too, so recovery staking plan an option.
RP

How about these..:-

LAY: 19/05/2013 WARWICK FARM (WAF)
SR 1 # 9 5x44 VISION SPLENDID 24.0 WON 3.60 PL 1.70
LAY: 19/05/2013 MT GAMBIER (MTG)
XR 2 # 3 x244 MANNERTONE 5.5 WON 5.80 PL 1.70

LAY: 25/05/2013 MACKAY (MAC)
XR 1 # 3 6233 WOODPARK ROAD 1.9 WON 2.40 PL 1.50
LAY: 19/05/2013 SUNSHINE COAST (SUN)
bR 6 # 1 x133 REQUIREMENT 7.0 WON 2.50 PL 1.40


Enjay

Darkydog was dispatched a fatal blow by "Zoro" aka Enjay..!!! lol. or was he ???

Well Darky, there might be a method in your madness. On the "Black Day", the 19th May, let's use your technique but broaden it a little:

Lay all horses on the 19th of May that had a PAIR of TWIN placings last two starts of current campain:
1,1 ..........7 wins 1 accident
2,2 ..........7 wins 1 accident
3,3 ..........3 wins 1 accident
4,4 ..........5 wins 2 accidents
5,5 ..........1 win
6,6 ..........3 wins
7,7 ..........2 wins
8,8 ..........3 wins 1 accident
9,9 ..........2 wins
0,0 ..........5 wins

If Layed for a $100 liability a nett profit on the day of $130.23 !!
2.9% POT. Don't give up just yet Darky!

Remember Enjay having a few losses is "part & parcel", doesn't mean you've lost at the end of the day.

Onya Darky,
RP

Nice try Norm BUT never happened.

Lets see if Norm (with his "Magical Spectacles ") get any more than these.

Gosford
R 2 H 1
Grafton
R 6 H 4
Townsville
R 3 H 6

I'm confused DD as those nags listed by enjay won, so am I missing something?

Using "The Rule" over 12 years.

35,742 occurences. 13.5% Win Strike Rate. 86.5% Lay Rate. Average Win Price (AAP) $5.33.

Regards,

So, about 3000 selections per year with a lay profit of about 15% at estimated BF prices. Not bad.

Demodocus,
You've told us what the Average Win price is for the 4,825 times the selection Won. What is the average Lay price for the 30,916 times it lost? OR is $5.33 the average price (What, Tote, BF, SP ??) for all 35,742 horses?
Interested to know as it might refine Speedy's profit downwards.
RP