Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 27th May 2013, 04:02 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Smile A Ripsnorter "Lay" System- With Results.

The Rule.

Any horse that ran 33 or 44 in past 2 starts in current campaign.

Results 19/5 - 27/5

102 Bets/ 1 win @$2.45.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 27th May 2013, 05:47 PM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
The Rule.

Any horse that ran 33 or 44 in past 2 starts in current campaign.

Results 19/5 - 27/5

102 Bets/ 1 win @$2.45.

Good one Darky, be rare for two losses in a row too, so recovery staking plan an option.
RP
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 27th May 2013, 06:42 PM
enjay enjay is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 203
Default

How about these..:-

LAY: 19/05/2013 WARWICK FARM (WAF)
SR 1 # 9 5x44 VISION SPLENDID 24.0 WON 3.60 PL 1.70
LAY: 19/05/2013 MT GAMBIER (MTG)
XR 2 # 3 x244 MANNERTONE 5.5 WON 5.80 PL 1.70

LAY: 25/05/2013 MACKAY (MAC)
XR 1 # 3 6233 WOODPARK ROAD 1.9 WON 2.40 PL 1.50
LAY: 19/05/2013 SUNSHINE COAST (SUN)
bR 6 # 1 x133 REQUIREMENT 7.0 WON 2.50 PL 1.40


Enjay
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 28th May 2013, 07:27 AM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Thumbs up Twins 2

Darkydog was dispatched a fatal blow by "Zoro" aka Enjay..!!! lol. or was he ???

Well Darky, there might be a method in your madness. On the "Black Day", the 19th May, let's use your technique but broaden it a little:

Lay all horses on the 19th of May that had a PAIR of TWIN placings last two starts of current campain:
1,1 ..........7 wins 1 accident
2,2 ..........7 wins 1 accident
3,3 ..........3 wins 1 accident
4,4 ..........5 wins 2 accidents
5,5 ..........1 win
6,6 ..........3 wins
7,7 ..........2 wins
8,8 ..........3 wins 1 accident
9,9 ..........2 wins
0,0 ..........5 wins

If Layed for a $100 liability a nett profit on the day of $130.23 !!
2.9% POT. Don't give up just yet Darky!

Remember Enjay having a few losses is "part & parcel", doesn't mean you've lost at the end of the day.

Onya Darky,
RP
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 28th May 2013, 10:02 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Default

Nice try Norm BUT never happened.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 28th May 2013, 10:12 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Talking 28/5/013

Lets see if Norm (with his "Magical Spectacles ") get any more than these.

Gosford
R 2 H 1
Grafton
R 6 H 4
Townsville
R 3 H 6
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 28th May 2013, 10:35 AM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

I'm confused DD as those nags listed by enjay won, so am I missing something?
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 28th May 2013, 11:07 AM
demodocus demodocus is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 59
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
The Rule.
Any horse that ran 33 or 44 in past 2 starts in current campaign.
Results 19/5 - 27/5
102 Bets/ 1 win @$2.45.

Using "The Rule" over 12 years.

35,742 occurences. 13.5% Win Strike Rate. 86.5% Lay Rate. Average Win Price (AAP) $5.33.

Regards,
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 28th May 2013, 11:29 AM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 464
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
Using "The Rule" over 12 years.

35,742 occurences. 13.5% Win Strike Rate. 86.5% Lay Rate. Average Win Price (AAP) $5.33.

Regards,
So, about 3000 selections per year with a lay profit of about 15% at estimated BF prices. Not bad.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 28th May 2013, 11:42 AM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Question

Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
Using "The Rule" over 12 years.

35,742 occurences. 13.5% Win Strike Rate. 86.5% Lay Rate. Average Win Price (AAP) $5.33.

Regards,
Demodocus,
You've told us what the Average Win price is for the 4,825 times the selection Won. What is the average Lay price for the 30,916 times it lost? OR is $5.33 the average price (What, Tote, BF, SP ??) for all 35,742 horses?
Interested to know as it might refine Speedy's profit downwards.
RP
Reply With Quote


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 01:43 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655