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  #1  
Old 17th October 2012, 11:35 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink Don Scott Market

Just to pass some time I looked at Don Scott's market (the worksheet on the R & S Website).

I applied the following simple rule.

In D.S's market I hypothetically backed every horse in every race that he quoted under $10 in his market providing that there were a maximum of three of them.

From Sunday there were 63 of these qualifying races for a total outlay of $153 for a return of $153.70.

However I also looked at races where there were only a maximum of two horses under $10 in his market

The result wasn't too bad. There were 31 of these races, and the winner was struck in 17 of them for a strike rate of 54%

More importantly, the total outlay was $45 for a return of $65.20 which is an amazing POT of 44%. A profit was obtained in all three days.

The results shown above are Unitab divvies.

I know three day's results can't be taken too seriously but it might be worth thinking about.

Last edited by michaelg : 17th October 2012 at 11:39 AM.
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  #2  
Old 17th October 2012, 11:50 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Thumbs up

Thanks Michaelg,
Definitely worth looking at.
Cheers
darky
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  #3  
Old 17th October 2012, 11:59 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile

Added that one to my bag of tricks.
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  #4  
Old 17th October 2012, 12:04 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Hi, Darky.

I didn't mention this but I think it might also be worthwhile. However unfortunately I didn't keep any records.

In these qualifying races if all horses shown under $20 in his market were boxed in quinellas (didn't look at trifectas) then it might also have been profitable. There were some surprisingly large quins for relatively small outlays.
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  #5  
Old 17th October 2012, 12:14 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile

I always like your thoughts as there based on logic.
Quinella one added also.

I will test both on Country tracks as I prefer these to City meetings.

Cheers and thank you.
darky
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  #6  
Old 17th October 2012, 12:19 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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What I,ll do is add 1 and use that as my minimum acceptable price (for Value)
i.e
M.Bridge
R 1 H 1 + 4 (Need $3)

Looks like no.1 @$3.20 FIXED

Last edited by darkydog2002 : 17th October 2012 at 12:21 PM.
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  #7  
Old 17th October 2012, 12:27 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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$3.10 now for 4 Fixed
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  #8  
Old 17th October 2012, 07:04 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Hi, Darky, hope you won today.

By my reckoning there were 22 selections for a disappointing return on NSW TAB of $16.20.

I believe the quinella outlay was also $22 for a return of $38 and the trifecta outlay was $66 for a return of $179.

These results for the above two forms of exotic betting are when there are only a maximum of two selections that are under $10 in the D.S. market, and then all others under $20 in his market are included for boxed quinellas and trifectas.

I've had a very good day with my two Lay the Field methods, and with one more race to go (Northam R7) I can't lose.
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  #9  
Old 17th October 2012, 08:02 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Broke even at M.Bridge with the $5.20 winner in R 4..
Cheers.
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  #10  
Old 17th October 2012, 09:05 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Default

I tested a period of 7 days at the beginning of the year using this. It showed a loss of $54 on straight $1 bets.

Might just be a short term trend.
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