#1
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![]() Just to pass some time I looked at Don Scott's market (the worksheet on the R & S Website).
I applied the following simple rule. In D.S's market I hypothetically backed every horse in every race that he quoted under $10 in his market providing that there were a maximum of three of them. From Sunday there were 63 of these qualifying races for a total outlay of $153 for a return of $153.70. However I also looked at races where there were only a maximum of two horses under $10 in his market The result wasn't too bad. There were 31 of these races, and the winner was struck in 17 of them for a strike rate of 54% More importantly, the total outlay was $45 for a return of $65.20 which is an amazing POT of 44%. A profit was obtained in all three days. The results shown above are Unitab divvies. I know three day's results can't be taken too seriously but it might be worth thinking about. Last edited by michaelg : 17th October 2012 at 11:39 AM. |
#2
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![]() Thanks Michaelg,
Definitely worth looking at. Cheers darky |
#3
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![]() Added that one to my bag of tricks.
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#4
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![]() Hi, Darky.
I didn't mention this but I think it might also be worthwhile. However unfortunately I didn't keep any records. In these qualifying races if all horses shown under $20 in his market were boxed in quinellas (didn't look at trifectas) then it might also have been profitable. There were some surprisingly large quins for relatively small outlays. |
#5
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![]() I always like your thoughts as there based on logic.
Quinella one added also. I will test both on Country tracks as I prefer these to City meetings. Cheers and thank you. darky |
#6
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![]() What I,ll do is add 1 and use that as my minimum acceptable price (for Value)
i.e M.Bridge R 1 H 1 + 4 (Need $3) Looks like no.1 @$3.20 FIXED Last edited by darkydog2002 : 17th October 2012 at 12:21 PM. |
#7
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![]() $3.10 now for 4 Fixed
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#8
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![]() Hi, Darky, hope you won today.
By my reckoning there were 22 selections for a disappointing return on NSW TAB of $16.20. I believe the quinella outlay was also $22 for a return of $38 and the trifecta outlay was $66 for a return of $179. These results for the above two forms of exotic betting are when there are only a maximum of two selections that are under $10 in the D.S. market, and then all others under $20 in his market are included for boxed quinellas and trifectas. I've had a very good day with my two Lay the Field methods, and with one more race to go (Northam R7) I can't lose. |
#9
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![]() Broke even at M.Bridge with the $5.20 winner in R 4..
Cheers. |
#10
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![]() I tested a period of 7 days at the beginning of the year using this. It showed a loss of $54 on straight $1 bets.
Might just be a short term trend. |
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