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  #1  
Old 14th October 2012, 06:05 AM
Benny Benny is offline
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Post Trifecta's

How do I calculate the prob of multiple trifecta's Using the Don Scott methord
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  #2  
Old 14th October 2012, 09:48 AM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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Hi Benny,

Not sure what you are actually asking for but if you are looking for a formula to calculate theoretical trifecta dividends then Dr Roger Dedman in his book Commonsense Punting gave us the following formula

{x * [(x*y-1)] *[z+1]/[x+1] -1

where x is odds of winner, y is odds of 2nd placegetter and z is odds of 3rd placegetter.

e.g. if x = $3.00 (2/1), y = $4.00 (3/1), z = $5.00 (4/1)

2*[(2*3-1)]*[4+1]/[2+1] -1

= [2*5*5/3]-1

= 50/3 -1

= 16.67 - 1

= 15.67 to 1

= $16.67

If this is not what you're after then I'm sorry to have wasted your time.
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  #3  
Old 14th October 2012, 12:21 PM
Benny Benny is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Try Try Again
Hi Benny,

Not sure what you are actually asking for but if you are looking for a formula to calculate theoretical trifecta dividends then Dr Roger Dedman in his book Commonsense Punting gave us the following formula

{x * [(x*y-1)] *[z+1]/[x+1] -1

where x is odds of winner, y is odds of 2nd placegetter and z is odds of 3rd placegetter.

e.g. if x = $3.00 (2/1), y = $4.00 (3/1), z = $5.00 (4/1)

2*[(2*3-1)]*[4+1]/[2+1] -1

= [2*5*5/3]-1

= 50/3 -1

= 16.67 - 1

= 15.67 to 1

= $16.67

If this is not what you're after then I'm sorry to have wasted your time.


It's just what I need. Thanks
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  #4  
Old 14th October 2012, 04:02 PM
Benny Benny is offline
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Is there any way that I can use a speadsheet to do the calulations. I take no more than 5 horses which is 60 tickets.
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  #5  
Old 14th October 2012, 09:05 PM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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Hi Benny,

If you can list your email address I have put together a spreadsheet you can use for up to 5 horses.
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  #6  
Old 15th October 2012, 11:55 AM
Benny Benny is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Try Try Again
Hi Benny,

If you can list your email address I have put together a spreadsheet you can use for up to 5 horses.


This is my backup email

rhea5355@hotmail.com
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  #7  
Old 15th October 2012, 12:13 PM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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Hi Benny,

I'll send the excel file later this afternoon.

Regards

TTA
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  #8  
Old 15th October 2012, 04:03 PM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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Hi Benny,

I have sent you the spreadsheet. Let me know that you receive it.

Regards

TTA
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