Hi crew,
I'm going to try and see if we can carve out a crust backing only the finest horseflesh, predominately for the PLACE.

Rules:
1/ Minimum standard - black type
2/ Back for the place unless <=1.60 for the win SP in the morning on Tatts.

Today's selections:
Flemington
2.55pm 5 - 9 Snitzerland (1.60/1.08)
Warwick Farm
3.15pm 5 - 8 Lights of Heaven (7.5/2.25)
Flemington
3.35pm 6 - 2 Manighar (3.4/1.48)
Warwick Farm
4.35pm 7 - 2 Rain Affair (1.55/1.16)

The selections are based on my own thoughts, using the benchmark figures provided by racing NSW and racing VIC.

Have a glorious Saturday, I'll be out at Flemington. Can't wait!!!

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Nice one Schmilemeister.

Bring back a saddle bag full of cash, son.

LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

Can we add our thoughts on this idea or would you like to keep it as your selections only?

__________________
One Drive

"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out." --moeee
_______________________________________________

I would like to read your thoughts Shaun - either here , or in another thread you start.

Thanks LG,

I've taken a few early prices, so nothing left to do but have a few sparkling bevvies and watch the magic unfold.

Shaun, ideas are very welcome!!

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

No cigar today,

Some super runs from a Majors perspective. Lights of Heaven was very disappointing!

My most exciting moment racing-wise today, was watching Danleigh do the business at the Farm. Nine years of age. Legendary.

I'd love to see some input on how to attack the black type races this Spring. So let the ideas/methodologies flow!!

Out 4 In 3.1 P/L -.9

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

1) Win S/R in excess of, or thereabouts of 50%
2) QLD, SA or even WA based horse, and of course NZ. This form seems underrated when you compare the Melb and Syd form, but it does hold up.
Logic is that you'll get good odds about a good horse that the trainer thinks has a chance (otherwise, why would he / she make the trip?)
3) Scratch Gai Waterhouse horses, overbet and overrated, and dont win in Melb in the Spring.
4) Do not bet on international jockeys

Thanks for your thoughts Barny!

Some interesting observations.

I'm a huge fan of the banana benders when they have a red hot go down south.Buffering, Woorim, Temple of Boom spring to mind. Solzhenitsyn looks like a having a big spring prep after yesterday's hands and heels romp.

I'm not sure sacking all Waterhouse horses is the way to go but I do agree many of them start unders. Occasionally one will sneak under the radar and I always look at Nash's rides, as he is a gun in my opinion.

Not betting on international jocks is a contentious one. The 'Frenchies' over a distance seem to ride pretty well. Recent Cup winners are an example.

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Swiss Ace first drew my attention to the "outclassed" QLD'rs. Keep your eyes peeled for the odd SA horse with a decent SR (50%+). They too have come over here and won at odds ..... Tassie horses don't do so much, but that may change.

Any one using Zipform ratings - only consider horses with >=57 rating in WFA races.