Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 9th August 2015, 09:20 AM
Surround Surround is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 66
Default Getting the best price

Hi all
I've noticed in recent times and it's possibly been going on for quite some time, that the favourite in early markets drifts quite often and I'd be better off using the best of three totes with starting price option. I use Bet365 and it was really good when they had the above option combined with the fixed price offer. That has changed and we don't get the lot combined to give us the best. The other problem recently is we don't get the official bookmakers starting price on a Sunday with most country and provincial tracks.
Back to the drifting favourite price yesterday, four of my eight early price favs drifted quite a lot.
Flem R5 $4.00 to $5.60
Rand R6 $3.40 to $$6.20 (lose)
Flem R7 $2.35 to $3.40
Morp R8 $2.40 to $4.40
That makes a hell of a difference to the bottom line and I'm now going to use the best of three totes/Sp from here on I think.
What have others found and consider the best for returns.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 9th August 2015, 10:14 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,522
Default

I use betfair as I can get set and not worried about being banned from a bookie. My turnover flags me straight away and there is no reason for me to even try with the bookies anymore.

If you are able to get the best price offered you have won half the battle and should win long term with a winning selection process but in the end if your successful then your going to be down to a limited few options which are tote or betfair (and some very rare bookies that are almost as rare as unicorns).
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 9th August 2015, 11:44 AM
garyf garyf is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 366
Unhappy

Quote:
Originally Posted by Surround
Hi all
I've noticed in recent times and it's possibly been going on for quite some time, that the favourite in early markets drifts quite often and I'd be better off using the best of three totes with starting price option. I use Bet365 and it was really good when they had the above option combined with the fixed price offer. That has changed and we don't get the lot combined to give us the best. The other problem recently is we don't get the official bookmakers starting price on a Sunday with most country and provincial tracks.
Back to the drifting favourite price yesterday, four of my eight early price favs drifted quite a lot.
Flem R5 $4.00 to $5.60
Rand R6 $3.40 to $$6.20 (lose)
Flem R7 $2.35 to $3.40
Morp R8 $2.40 to $4.40
That makes a hell of a difference to the bottom line and I'm now going to use the best of three totes/Sp from here on I think.
What have others found and consider the best for returns.


Best Of Three Or S/P pays the best dividend 73%,
Of the time last time I looked or close to it.

It is by far the best product you can get.

It is not just on drifting favourites.

Now that's one problem fixed.

Now try getting on when you are a winner.

To my knowledge the second best product is B/FAIR S/P,
I stand corrected if that is second best but I think it is.

So for me second best is the only option.

Was thinking about this a few weeks ago,
When I made the move over where would I go,
If Betfair ever collapsed "HEAVEN FORBID"

Easy BET ON THE TOTE yeah right what happens if you are not,
Making above the 18% takeout.???.

Cheers.
Garyf.

Last edited by garyf : 9th August 2015 at 11:46 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 9th August 2015, 12:39 PM
Surround Surround is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 66
Default

Thanks UB and garyf
I thought someone would come up with figures to verify what I was suspecting.
I've never looked at joining Betfair having considered it more a Layers market in the past which I've never been interested in. looks like I might have to consider it but for now I'll stick to the best of three totes/Sp.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 9th August 2015, 01:05 PM
Surround Surround is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 66
Default

I should expand on that last statement from me. I do realize that for Layers there has also to be some Backers to make it all work but it just wasn't for me.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10th August 2015, 12:48 AM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 464
Wink

QUOTE:
Best Of Three Or S/P pays the best dividend 73%,
Of the time last time I looked or close to it.
It is by far the best product you can get.
UNQUOTE
There is a better one on Sat metro racing which is BOB. Best of top fluc and totes. Available on Luxbet that I know of.
__________________
Dear Lord
Please let me break even. I need the money.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10th August 2015, 04:12 AM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Surround
Hi all
Back to the drifting favourite price yesterday, four of my eight early price favs drifted quite a lot.
Flem R5 $4.00 to $5.60
Rand R6 $3.40 to $$6.20 (lose)
Flem R7 $2.35 to $3.40
Morp R8 $2.40 to $4.40
That makes a hell of a difference to the bottom line and I'm now going to use the best of three totes/Sp from here on I think.


Seems to me you walked past a 'gold mine' without even seeing it? If the phenomenon of drifting faves is more an established occurrence than a guess, then you could trade these on Betfair for a nice risk free profit, whether they win or lose! Lay low, Back high.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10th August 2015, 09:59 AM
garyf garyf is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 366
Thumbs down

Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedyBen
QUOTE:
Best Of Three Or S/P pays the best dividend 73%,
Of the time last time I looked or close to it.
It is by far the best product you can get.
UNQUOTE
There is a better one on Sat metro racing which is BOB. Best of top fluc and totes. Available on Luxbet that I know of.


That's an even better one then.

My analysis was done on the other option,
As the majority of corporates bet it & seven days a week,
All thoroughbred racing.

Unfortunately this one is Saturday Metro Only.

Doubt if it would alter the figures that much.

Not sure if all corporates offer this product,
Or only a few?.

If you can get that at Luxbet Saturday,
Then the other one the rest of the time you are made.

Only one problem.

Make sure your selection(s) are constant losers,
Or you will get none of the above.

Cheers.
Garyf.

Last edited by garyf : 10th August 2015 at 10:03 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10th August 2015, 03:06 PM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 464
Default

I'm pretty sure that other corps do offer Best of Best, but not all
__________________
Dear Lord
Please let me break even. I need the money.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10th August 2015, 03:14 PM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 464
Thumbs up

If Betfair ever collapsed "HEAVEN FORBID"

I agree wholeheartedly with that Gary.
The other plus is that there are many bots written for BF, which takes a lot of the work out of it, if your method can be programmed.
__________________
Dear Lord
Please let me break even. I need the money.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 03:28 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655