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#1
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Short Turnaround
I'm currently running without a database
But I'm wondering if any other punters have invested time into runners within a Days Last Start of 3-5 days Can someone please test the following over their database Days Last Start = 3-5 days Career starts = 1-6 Last Start Position = 4th or worse Appreciate Regards |
#2
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Hi Vortech,
I ran this for you going back to start of 2008 and the results suggest that this finds longshots. Code:
I'll run it again with last start 1-3 and see what that gives you. Matt. |
#3
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Hi mattio,
What if we take out the Career starts 1-6 and replace it with Won at Course? Cheers, B |
#4
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Hi Bernie,
Sure I can do that, had a hiccup with the DB software so had to re-run it for LSF 1-3 which is looking alot better. Cheers, Matt. |
#5
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As a rule, mares and fillies do not back up well and need longer than colts geldings and horses. Mares more so than fillies.
Eliminate fillies and mares. Career starts 1 - 6 Days break 3 - 5 Last start placing irrelevant. Profit $128.20 Pot 8.44% Although strike rate only 10.73% and one dividend was $115.50. Last run placing 1 22.22% strike rate 9.33% POT 2 23.70% strike rate 4.37% POT 3 15.97% strike rate 14.03% POT 4 14.66% strike rate 20.43% LOT >4 6.87% strike rate 11.35% POT Again important to note, the double figure POTs all came from one bolter Last start placing 1st or 2nd gives a nice 6.36% POT at tote prices without longshots making up the profit *The above figures are eliminating fillies and mares.
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RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 407,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/09/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#6
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Vortech,
Here is the results with LSF 1-3. Code:
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#7
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Quote:
Days Last Start = 3-5 days Won at course LSF 1- 3 Cheers, Bernie |
#8
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No, the last one posted has the original rules but LSF 1-3 instead of 4+, here are the results for the first test replacing Starts 1-6 with Won at Course.
Code:
I will do these rules with LSF 1-3 next. |
#9
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Great stuff mattio, really appreciated.
Cheers, Bernie |
#10
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No worries Bernie, here are the results of the latest test.
Code:
I will try and break them down over the next few days using CP's observations and see what I come up with. |
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