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#61
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For a while there I thought I was going to get a clean sweep. Did not lay a winner until PM6, then laid 3 in a row. All in all a very pleasing day.
40 Lays 3 Accidents Turnover $456 Profit $244.20 2 days total 105 lays 18 accidents t/o $1276 profit $183.80 14.4% on t/o or 9.19% increase on bank. strike rate 82.85% Last edited by Mark : 13th March 2007 at 05:39 PM. |
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#62
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Day 3 of the trial.
Gold Coast, Newcastle, Ballarat & Cheltenham. GC1 13-2 GC2 3-1 GC3 6 GC4 7-3 GC5 4-6 GC6 1-10-8 GC7 1-5-8 GC8 6-10 N1 1 N3 6-1-2 N4 2-7-4 N5 10-3-6 N6 3-2 N7 1-9-4 N8 14-1-9 V1 9-3-4-2 V3 1-2-6 V4 1-4-2 V5 1-3-5 V6 1-3-10 V7 6-8-1 C1 6-7 C2 3-4 C3 8-2 C4 5-9-10 C5 14-6-12 C6 3-2 C7 5-8-6 C8 4-1 C9 4-5-1 A repeat of yesterday would be nice. |
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#63
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On the other hand, a terrible day would finish it off.
This is far too volatile for me. 54 bets 16 accidents t/o $768 loss $214.42 3 day total 159 lays 34 accidents t/o $2044 loss $30.62 |
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#64
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Yes, a few too many 'accidents' there Mark. Couldn't follow them all myself because of various restraints and was able to come out ahead in actual fact --- so thanks for that.
Actually it took me some time to work out exactly what you were doing (I'm pretty slow!); but once I got the hang of it I did O.K.. The idea is good --- the picks for winners were the weak part. According to my additions you only came up with the winner in your picks 10/76 times. Or, more accurately, 10/30 races. If you were able to improve on that wouldn't the return necessarily improve? Another way of expressing this would be to say that in 20/30 races a horse outside the 'picks' came home. Presumably, most all of these have come from the group "not in the picks but below $10.00" which are what you were relying on. Improvement has to come there. The idea is O.K. the implementation of it is failing, don't you think Thanks for all the work done! |
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#65
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Merriguy
A very poor day by anyone's standards. Will give it another go today. |
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#66
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Mark,
Can I suggest that laying is a different technical propect than backing. Too many people place too much importance on the horse rather than the price. For example: If I lay a horse @ $3.00 and I could have had $2.40 about it, then suddenly price plays more of a role. I know you have a price cut off and don't like leaving bets "in the wind" but you might benefit by setting your own price rather than having to take what's offered. You may only get matched on half the horses, but your profit might double.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 426,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
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#67
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Thursday's throng of thingamy's.
H1 11-1-7 H2 8-4-7 H3 9-8-5 H4 3-1-2 H5 3-4-1 H6 6-2-8 H7 6-1-11 H8 4-6 T1 1-5 T2 6-1-3 T3 2-1 T5 2-7-5 T6 1-6-3 T7 2 T8 4-6 B3 7-2-3 B4 1-5-3 B5 15-8-11 B6 7-1 B7 1 B8 5-2-3 |
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#68
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Small profit today, but this is still not ideal.
Out of 20 races I had the winner in 16 of them so the risk reward ratio is out somewhere. 33 lays 5 accidents t/o $388 profit $57 4 day total 192 lays 39 accidents or 79.6% strike rate. t/o $2432 profit $26.38 or 1.08% ps there was no TR8, I accidentally copied HR8. |
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#69
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Fifth day is Five meeting Freaky Friday. I'm not looking at MV tonight.
Q1 2-4-1 Q2 2-1-3 Q3 5-3-1 Q4 6 Q5 2-1-7 Q6 2 Q7 3-5-2 Q8 1-3-7 N1 10-6-7 N2 10-7-4 N3 1-3-6 N4 2-6-3 N5 1-5-3 N6 5-7-8 N7 1-7 N8 5-10-7 V1 11-7-3 V2 8-14 V3 14-3-1 V4 5-3-2 V5 7-2 V6 4-1 V7 7-1-14 V8 3 A1 10-8-1 A2 --- A3 3-1 A4 4-6 A5 6-4-9 A6 6-1 A7 3-1-6 C1 6 C2 8-5-7 C3 3-1 C4 2-8 C5 1-5-3 C6 10-8-3 C7 2-3 C8 3-1 C9 7-2-3 If you believe in patterns, then today should be a loser. |
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#70
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So much for patterns.
Today was FAT. The type of day that I was hoping this system was capable of. 70 lays 6 accidents or 91.4% strike rate T/O $824 Profit $419.80 5 day total 262 lays 45 accidents, 82.8% strike rate T/O $3256 Profit $446.18, or 13.7% Bank increased by 22.3% |
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