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#61
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ROBOT
HI MAX. In answer to what do I DO with a scratching to a maybe selection I have been ignoring that race as the PP would alter to a great extent So why worry as I do this manually.Regards ROBOT
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#62
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A very interesting day.
According to selections of the original system, 2 races were selected for a total outlay of 22 units and 1 of them returned 38 units. Both races would have been dropped according to Option B which drops races where the 5th fav is the same odds as the 6th fav. Using the odds on the web2bet site, a total of 6 races were identified with returns on 4 of them. These odds are turning out to be a good source. Maybe even a set alternative. Further testing required. |
#63
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Okay results time
OPTION A (standard 3rd, 4th and 5th fav if they are odds of >=6, >=8, >=10: WTD (week to date) Returns 141.10 units off 68 for POT of 107% MTD (month to date) Returns 187 units off 159 for POT of 18% YTD (year to date) Returns 728 off 514 for POT of 41% OPTION B (drop any race where 5th fav is same odds as 6th fav) WTD returns 22 off 23 for POT -2% MTD returns 22 off 56 for POT -60% YTD returns 554 off 298 for POT 86% I guess dropping those races DOES MAKE A DIFFERENCE! OPTION C (using Web2Bet website instead of Courier Mail for odds) WTD returns 121 off 68 for POT 78% |
#64
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Selections for today:
OPTION C (w2b site) Ballarat7 - 3,12,4* Ballarat8 - 9,3,6* GoldCoast6 - 1,7,11* I will get to the Courier Mail when I can. |
#65
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courier Mail race selections are:
*2011 05 12 THU QRGOLDCOAST4, numbers 5 for 5 units, 2 for 4 units, and 12 for 3 units 2011 05 12 THU ARMORPHETTVILLE1, numbers 1 for 5 units, 10 for 4 units, and 4 for 2 units 2011 05 12 THU ARMORPHETTVILLE6, numbers 7 for 4 units, 8 for 4 units, and 5 for 3 units *2011 05 12 THU VRBALLARAT7, numbers 3 for 4 units, 12 for 4 units, and 4 for 3 units *2011 05 12 THU VRBALLARAT8, numbers 9 for 4 units, 3 for 4 units, and 6 for 3 units |
#66
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Results:
OPTION A Return 28.00 Outlay 56.00 Profit -$28.00 POT% -50.00% OPTION B Return 28.00 Outlay 22.00 Profit $6.00 POT% 27.27% OPTION C (W2B) Return - Outlay 34.00 Profit -$34.00 POT -100% |
#67
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Selections for tomorrow (FRI):
OPTION C (odds using Web2Bet site) *2011 05 13 FRI ALBANY2 *2011 05 13 FRI IPSWICH1 *2011 05 13 FRI IPSWICH2 2011 05 13 FRI IPSWICH4 2011 05 13 FRI SCONE3 *2011 05 13 FRI SCONE6 *2011 05 13 FRI SCONE7 |
#68
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Hi Max - you are going very well but just a thought ...
if the Pre-Post market is calculated for "Good" tracks and the tracks are Heavy (or slow) as was the situation today could this be one reason for today's below average performance? Fred |
#69
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I did go back through my selections to date and record the track conditions and filtering these made no real difference to returns. I am keeping an eye on this though as the sample data increases, so too will some of these less affecting filters, hopefully!
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#70
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More selections for today (FRI):
OPTION 1 (Courier Mail) *2011 05 13 FRI ALBANY2, numbers 8 for 4 units, 2 for 4 units, and 9 for 3 units 2011 05 13 FRI IPSWICH1, numbers 8 for 5 units, 9 for 4 units, and 2 for 3 units *2011 05 13 FRI SCONE5, numbers 13 for 4 units, 6 for 4 units, and 7 for 3 units |
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