I think favourites are overrated in the big group 1's. Maybe a good system would be to lay the fave in group 1 races. +1.6 points in the 3 races today at Caulfield.

__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.”

― Earl Nightingale

Flemington 06/10/2012.

Race 8 - Gilgai Stakes Group 2 - 1200m Class: Open. Track: Good. Time: 1:08.83. Sectional Time: 0:33.29 at 600m. Prizemoney: $220,000 - 1st: $132,000 2nd: $39,600 3rd: $19,800.
1		11. Hallowell Belle	Ms G Waterhouse	V Duric (5)	$7.50	53.5
		4m Starcraft (NZ) x Bella Inez (Beautiful Crown (USA) ) Lot 11; 2010 Inglis Premier Yearling Sale; Vendor - Three Bridges Thoroughbreds, Maldon; Buyer - Star Thoroughbreds Pty Ltd $170,000
		Previous Start: 3 - Randwick 28/04/2012, Sharp James H B Carr Stakes, 1400m Details
2	0.8	7. King's Rose (NZ)	P G Moody	L Nolen (2)	$9	55.0
		5m Redoute's Choice x Nureyev's Girl (Nureyev (USA) ) Lot 134; 2009 Inglis Australian Easter Yearling Sale; Vendor - Haunui Farm, Auckland, NZ; Buyer - Withdrawn
3	0.8	2. Spirit Of Boom	T J Gollan	M J Walker (8)	$5	57.0
		5h Sequalo x Temple Spirit (Special Dane ) Lot 141; 2009 MM QTIS 600; Vendor - Eureka Thoroughbreds Pty Ltd; Buyer - THE GOLLAN RACING TRUST $90,000
4	2.6	3. Galah	Peter Snowden	G Boss (9)	$26	57.0
		4h Redoute's Choice x Rinky Dink (Distorted Humor (USA) )
5	2.8	4. Bel Sprinter	Jason Warren	B Melham (1)	$2.75	56.0
		5g Bel Esprit x Gavroche (Snippets )
6	2.9	10. Metallurgical	John Thompson	M Zahra (6)	$61	55.0
		6g Redoute's Choice x Lady Capel (Last Tycoon (IRE) )
7	3.9	9. Excellantes	R L Heathcote	J Winks (7)	$16	55.0
		5g Falvelon x Cantantes (Just Awesome )
8	4.1	6. Mid Summer Music	P G Moody	B Rawiller (10)	$7.50	55.0
		7m Oamaru Force x Samsara Lady (NZ) (Nassipour (USA) )
9	4.2	8. Sistine Angel	Andrew Noblet	Craig Williams (4)	$26	55.0
		5m Testa Rossa x Famous Painter (Peintre Celebre (USA) )
10	5.5	5. Liveandletdie	M A Kavanagh	D Oliver (3)	$21	55.5
		5h Street Cry (IRE) x Janella (IRE) (Great Commotion (USA) )

Must have forgotten about this one ?

Cheers.

Hi chaps,

Garyf looks to have come back with the right hook......

I agree yesterday Barny that the two favoured Waterhouse runners were caught in the 'spin cycle.' I think the hype even got to Nash as I'd rate both his rides in his 'worst ever' category.

I thought Fat Al went around at a decent price last week though. It might pay to remember that Grand Final Day for Pierro and MJ is the Cox Plate.......

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

I had a look at Waterhouse's stats on R+S and it makes for interesting reading.

Waterhouse Stats

Her strike rate and POT is better in NSW and you can make a level stakes profit backing Rawiller and Berry on Waterhouse mounts with a profit of 5.4% and 4.1% POT respectively. It would appear sticking to Metro meetings is the go!

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

I have long held the belief that More Joyous will not win the Cox Plate and have already laid her at a short price as I don't think she's a true 2000m horse against the best. I happily laid her yesterday and was never worried in running.
I also laid Pierro in running at 1.40 and must admit I thought I'd done my dough with 200m to go. I am a big fan of Pierro but thought Nash R. made one critical error and that was to go forward when Pierro missed the start. He seemed to not have a plan B.

Nice work SpeedyBen!

I'm a bit of a hopeless romantic when it comes to my favourite horses, so I couldn't bring myself to lay More Joyous even though I thought she'd struggle with the 60kg's.

Nash had a terrible time on both horses on Saturday and talk is that they might both be stuffed for the Cox Plate with such hard runs going in. Craig Williams jumping off Pierro is interesting......

Barny did you take the bank interest on Ocean Park? I took it at $1.60 fixed as I thought Sincero wouldn't run it out and things went to plan. Lovely horse.

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Far too short for me TheSchmile

Dear o'l Gai trains front runners in a closed shop & does it well - get outside her comfort zone or tactics don't suit & it's rarely all so rosey.

__________________
"Now let me get this straight - Whatever I do don't bet this horse?"

Thanks TheSchmile.
Watching the replay I am in awe of what Pierro did. After working hard up the hill in a time that was 12 lengths faster than par he had no right to kick away down the straight.
I was amused to hear Nash R trying to deflect criticism by saying that the horse didn't get into his usual rythym. Gee Nash when the leaders are going at breakneck pace and you're out 4 wide going fastest of all perhaps the horse has an excuse.

Didn't have a bet but history just keep repeating