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#21
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Good to see some valid replies on this subject.
I agree/disagree with a lot of the past testing results. I for one when setting up ideas only go back no more than 2 years. Reason being that there have been so many changes to the racing industry of late that what is happening now, if it were in place 5 years ago, would make a difference to you results which have been posted in reply on this thread. Here is another simple idea. Horses aged 4-7 with last start 3-17 days One more filter that I will not divulge at this time. Those with **** will work it out with the analyser. Last 2 years WIN Races Bet: 166 Races Won: 66 S.R./Race: 39.8% Outlay($): 167.00 Return : 239.96 $ Profit : 72.96 % P.O.T. : 43.7% Cheers Enjay |
#22
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I think I had better go to bed before I divulge any more of my simple ideas.
My last post has just been tested back for the past 4 years from today and all I can say is WOWOWOWOWOW!!!! The POT and Strike has been changed, but allowing for the changes as I have stated I am impressed. Naturally I will follow these on paper for 50 bets before I invest. Last 4 years Meetings considered : 8570 Win Strike Rate/Seln. : 34.4% Plc Strike Rate/Seln. : 52.4% Average Win Dividend : $3.36 Average Plc Dividend : $1.76 WIN Races Bet: 316 Races Won: 109 S.R./Race: 34.5% Outlay($): 317.00 Return : 366.76 $ Profit : 49.76 % P.O.T. : 15.7% I am very happy with these results. Regards Enjay |
#23
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Nice work enjay
Good to see someone showing a profitable system with rules.[/QUOTE] |
#24
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What has changed so dramatically in the last few years that would affect a decent system tested over 12 years ?? I have observed that there are certainly cycles in this caper, but there's cycles in everything.
I suppose training methods have changed where a horse can be set first up over a bit of distance. Weights have become compressed. But horses still have 4 legs and the fav still wins 30% of the time and LSW still win at the same rates they used to. |
#25
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I agree Barny, a lot changes over the years, but many things are undisputably consistent.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 406,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/08/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#26
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One noticeable change is the availability of data to many punters. The % of winners doesn't often change long-term just the price.
Common sense just isn't very common any more. PS: Good to see you keep the ideas flowing Barny. Not much action around here anymore. |
#27
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Quote:
I'm certain the some systems outperform during the Melbourne Spring Carnival. I'm sure class would be to the fore more during this time of year. Last edited by Barny : 14th August 2012 at 04:45 PM. |
#28
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Yes -Some systems do out perform for the Melb Cup - have been using it last few years and it's track record is sound over many more years than this !
Looks like I will have to share the selections with the family this this time around - they weren't that happy last year when I returned the only winner for the dayin the cup and bought them a lolly bag bc I felt sorry for them! LG
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The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB |
#29
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I would have been more than happy with a lolly bag last year
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 406,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/08/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#30
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Quote:
I got a lolly bag last year. Thanks Dad you meany. |
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