#11
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Hows abouts this one LG? (sung to the theme of 'I do like to live beside the seaside)
Oh I do like to have a go at Quadd-ies, Oh I do like to have a little crack, Oh I do like to take var-i-ous com-bin-a-tions, But always seem to end up landing flat-a on my back! Now for the serious business...... Caulfield 2,3 4,7 1,12 1,6,7,10,11 Cost: $40 Canterbury 3,9 1,2,3,4,7,8,9,11 6,7,8,11 2,3,4,6,9,10,11 Cost: $448
__________________
The Schmile "I buy when other people are selling.” ― J. Paul Getty |
#12
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Might be time for some Bon Jovi "Shot down...in a blaze of Glory...."
Went a little skinny on the first legs. Nice result in the first at Caulfield michaelg!! I'm off for a G & T.
__________________
The Schmile "I buy when other people are selling.” ― J. Paul Getty |
#13
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A bad start.
The method got three legs of the Strathalbyn quaddie which paid $17,000. However an all-up bet would have paid $8,724, so it's still encouraging in this aspect. The Caulfield quaddie was won. The outlay was $2,058 and the quaddie paid $1,000, but an all-up would have paid $2,300. I ignored Dombeen because in the first leg some of the selections had only one career start. The four legs were struck, and for the total outlay of $2,832 the quaddie paid $7,200 and an all-up would have paid $4,794. Tomorrow I'll look at quaddies that have a minimum 9 runners in each leg. |
#14
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Hi Michaelg,
What TAB dividends are you using because SuperTab paid $3228.50 for the Caulfield Quaddie and it was $2962.70 on Unitab |
#15
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Thanks, Try.
I got the divvy from Unitab, but I see what I've done wrong. Immediately above Caulfield on the Unitab site is Canterbury, and their quaddie paid the $1,000. |
#16
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Today's quaddies are:
Goulburn 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 9 3, 6, 8, 9, 10, 11, 13 Outlay of $2,401 Rocky 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 9 1, 2, 3, 4, 8, 10, 13 1, 2, 4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 Outlay of $2,401 Geraldton 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 11, 12 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 9, 10 Outlay of $2,744 I have omitted Kyneton because race 6 has only six starters. Total outlay of a huge $7,546. Last edited by michaelg : 13th December 2012 at 12:50 PM. |
#17
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A disaster yesterday. I might continue with it in the hope that there's still merit. I had another good day by using the same neural settings in laying the field, so the neural accuracy (in some way) might be worthwhile.
I'm quite intrigued with the comparison of an all-up bet to the quaddie dividend and I think I might further investigate. |
#18
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Quote:
I like your thinking here michaelg. Worthy of a further investigation, I agree. If we put the larger dividends aside, some interesting possibilities open up I believe. Cheers LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB |
#19
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In my Lay Don Scott outsiders I omit any horse that finished sixth or better at it's last run.
I applied this last-start rule to the quaddies that have been run over the past few days. I also applied the filters that any leg that is a Maiden or where each horse has not have at least one career run then the quaddie is not bet. The results based on Unitab divvies, and according to my reckoning are: Mon outlay of $4,830 return of $11,900 Tues outlay of $600 return of $0 Wed outlay of $6,216 return of $11,200 Thurs (yesterday) outlay of $2,736 return of $3,500 Food for thought? |
#20
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Quote:
At this level, yes. LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB |
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