Hahahaa, that's like waving a red flag at a bull Darky. Haven't been with them for awhile now. Banned from mentioning them!

Found an interesting stat from a CP post in 2004.

60% of races are won by a horse that ran 1st-4th last start
Also consider:
1st in at least one of its last two starts: 31%
2nd in at least one of its last two starts: 29%
That's a 60%er in my book.

Sorry.
I didnt know that.

With CP figures was there a preferred price range.

Cheers

Sorry Darky and apologies to CP, it wasn't his post, it was Chuck.
If you search for the thread Useful Facts and Stats, there's 5 pages of stuff. I don't Back anything, but it's always handy to know when laying what the percentages are stacked against you. Happy researching.

Hi Darky, was just thinking.. why don't we take the standard form goggles off every now and then, flip the lenses and put em back on. See what we get.

Beats watching favorites getting up 30% of the time till the paint dries??

Cheers LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

Good point because 67 % of non favs get up.

Will have a look at the thread Rinconpaul suggested.

I have most of Malcolm Knowles research here too.

Thanks Rinconpaul.
Will do.
Cheers

Good call Darky.

Was meaning to ask you - what sticks out from Mr Knowles in your opinion i.e. stuff which still holds true - stands up today??

Cheers LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

The thing that sticks out with Malcolms research is that the stats run over hundreds of thousands of races and not just a few thousand so in my opinion more likely to stand up long term.

Cheers

Including that old chesnut you allude to from time to time = 55kg+ I take it?

Cheers LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

Winners from randwick yesterday with last 3 starts etc

52 (0)
1 (6) 2.50
241 (3) 4.60
31x (2) 2.80
324 (2)
5x2 (4)
215 (6) 25.70
45x (4)

Cheers LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB