Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > General Topics
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 9th August 2016, 12:52 AM
Puntz Puntz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 291
Default First Fav Stats- trivia

On one of my "observatory" selection processes, it keeps count of each race that passed through filters: bet_race_wait_for_results type of real time process, but set to test bets. ( not yet satisfied with strike rate/Loss streak and drawn-down)

No matter how I set the filters, no matter how I set the Min or Max Fav. to pass on to the next part of a selection process to determine if it is a bet_race, No matter if it's greys or horse races,

after 7954 races processed, (Greys included, I don't do Trotts on this particular method), there were 2703 Wins where the First Favorite won.

2703/7954
33.98 % for 1st

22.28 % for first fav to come 2nd
15.60 % for "" "" "" 3rd

---,
On same selection method, older than the one above which uses less refinements.
2463/8009
30.75% for 1st

20.85% for first fav to come 2nd
16.59% "" "" "" 3rd

----,

Suggestions and Opinions most welcomed.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 9th August 2016, 04:43 PM
blackdog1 blackdog1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 177
Default

Not trying to be funny here, but you found and posted a well known fact of racing, ie. favs win about 30% of all races.

In what respect do you invite suggestions?
We don't know your criteria/filters but obviously its selections come close to being favs, hence the result you got.

Can you be clearer?

Last edited by blackdog1 : 9th August 2016 at 04:45 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 9th August 2016, 06:14 PM
Puntz Puntz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 291
Default

Fair question BD, and not offended the slightest. All good.

It's not from a book I read what I have stated, it's "manufactured" from the ground up, everything I have learnt in Excel, the this forum and elsewhere, just stating my findings, 30%. ~ Favs.

The thing is, when one "manufactures" their own stats. or whatever, one can go way back right to the very source of their respective data and process.

Hence I added "trivia" in the title bar, yeah it's not a big deal, these fav stats percent are not the only stats. I've collected so far.

There is 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th percents on offer to compare, maybe.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 12:14 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655