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#21
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APOLOGY, APOLOGY, APOLOGY
I was having a look at what would have happened if I had considered races <8 starters and I found out that I had used the wrong figures for Mornington on New Years Day. I had in fact used Morphettville figures! The results up to and including yesterday (10th January) for fields >= 8 starters are:- 1st fav 64 bets 25 wins S/R 39.1% bank $73.30 2nd fav 64 bets 11 wins S/R 17.2% bank $66.10 3rd fav 63 bets 10 wins S/R 15.9% bank 59.50 Total bets 191 bank $198.90 so I am ahead ($7.90) of schedule! If I include ALL races results are:- 1st fav 94 bets 29 wins S/R 30.9% bank $100.40 2nd fav 94 bets 20 bets S/R 21.3% bank $126.80 3rd fav 93 bets 17 wins S/R 18.3% bank $92.80 Total bets (All races) 281 bank $320.00 so I would be ahead ($39.00) of schedule as well. Largest bets and longest losing runs for fields >= 8 starters are 1st fav = $6 - 5 2nd fav = $7 - 15 3rd fav = $18 - 15 Largest bets and longest losing runs for ALL fields are 1st fav = $59 - 7 (twice) 2nd fav = $49 - 16 3rd fav = $18 - 14 POT % (fields>=8) is 44.8% POT % (All fields) is 35.7% |
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