Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 23rd March 2016, 11:08 AM
Neil Neil is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 804
Smile Betting system stood the test of time ...

I was intending to provide updated selections and results each week for Melbourne, Brisbane and Sydney Saturday racing for what I believe is an excellent betting system.

As I am currently able to provide the selections only on an irregular basis I passed.

Maybe someone would like to provide the selections and results each week?

In my opinion horses with high winning strike rates can be excellent bets provided short odds are avoided. They will quite often win at nice double figure odds. They can also add value to trifectas etc.

Here are the basic rules.

1. The horse must have a minimum 50% winning strike rate.

2. It must have had at least 10 race starts.

3. Avoid short odds. A minimum price of $5.00 is a good starting point. Judgement needs to be used if taking odds of $4.00.

That's it! There are plenty of other factors which can be looked at such as first up, time between races, how the horse fared at its previous start etc. etc.

Hope you find this system worthwhile.

Neil.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 23rd March 2016, 03:27 PM
Thenewguy Thenewguy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 22
Default

Pretty similar to some of my systems. I dont restrict it to metro. Without a price minimum returns avge price around 5.5. I run one similar for higher odds that avges around 15. Both return profit at level staking but i use my personal recovery plan to great effect and probably triple the return.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 25th March 2016, 03:28 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,420
Default

which is the best site to check Win% and career starts, without having to click on every horse as many of them are?
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 25th March 2016, 10:30 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Posts: 1,037
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
which is the best site to check Win% and career starts, without having to click on every horse as many of them are?

https://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.”

― Earl Nightingale
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 26th March 2016, 12:34 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,420
Default

Ocho, cheers for that , I knew I'd seen it other than Chartform, but just could't remember where.

I can see 4 qualifiers today (Metro only) MR7-4 Red Bomber, SR 4-2 Malaguerra, SR4-3 Alberto Magic, SR7-6 Mongolian Khan. with only Red Bomber meeting the price criteria at this stage @$11. there's 2 in the $4 range at the mo. but that might change of course.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 26th March 2016, 10:39 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,420
Default

I'm not endorsing, I have no idea, I was just showing some interest, but one Swallow does not make "Spring" we have at least 996 selections to go before we can make a judgement.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 27th July 2019, 07:12 AM
Sands Sands is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 21,336
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Thenewguy
Pretty similar to some of my systems. I dont restrict it to metro....

Agree. Also worth categorising win strike rate by track condition.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 9th August 2018, 05:58 AM
CrazyHorse CrazyHorse is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 99
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Neil

Here are the basic rules.

1. The horse must have a minimum 50% winning strike rate.

2. It must have had at least 10 race starts.

3. Avoid short odds. A minimum price of $5.00 is a good starting point. Judgement needs to be used if taking odds of $4.00.


Thinking not many qualifiers with minimum 50% winning strike rate (at least 10 race starts) & a minimum price of $5.00? Would expect a lot would be shorter odds.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10th August 2018, 02:40 PM
Kingston Rule Kingston Rule is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 35
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CrazyHorse
Thinking not many qualifiers with minimum 50% winning strike rate (at least 10 race starts) & a minimum price of $5.00? Would expect a lot would be shorter odds.

shop around for the best odds
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 12th September 2018, 07:33 AM
CrazyHorse CrazyHorse is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 99
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kingston Rule
shop around for the best odds

Absolutely

In my case I've modified the main rules slightly with some good results
The horse must have a minimum 40% winning strike rate
It must have had at least 8 race starts
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 04:52 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655