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15th September 2013, 07:39 PM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 4,424

RaceCensus

A new thread, please keep all posts relevant.

Another good day for the RaceCensus systems!



FITSPEED:

ALICE SPRINGS 

R1 RAPID CANNY WON  3.30 PL  1.60

HALIDON 

R7 EMBELISE 2ND       PL  1.50



Win Strike Rate: 50.0%

Place Strike Rate: 100.0%

Average Win Dividend  : $3.30

Average Place Dividend  : $1.55



                 WIN      PLACE

Races Bet:       2         2

Races Won:       1         2

S.R.:       50.0%    100.0%

Outlay:       2.00      2.00

Return:       3.30      3.10

Profit :        1.30      1.10

P.O.T. :      65.0%     55.0%

This brings the total for September:



                 WIN      PLACE

Races Bet:      19        19

Races Won:       7        15

S.R.:      35.00%     75.00%

Outlay:      20.00     20.00

Return   :      25.70     28.40

Profit :       5.70      8.40

P.O.T. :      28.50%     42.00%

Average Win Dividend: 3.67

Average Place Dividend: 1.89

__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 407,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 30/09/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg

28th September 2013, 06:58 PM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 4,424



                WIN      PLACE

Outlay:       $7.00      $7.00

Return:       $23.20     $10.30

Profit:      $16.20      $3.30

P.O.T.:      231.40%     47.10%

*Note only Tattsbet dividends were used, returns would have greatly increased using best tote, Betfair SP etc.

30th September 2013, 09:56 AM

Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline

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Join Date: Mar 2012

Posts: 1,237

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chrome Prince

Another massive day for the RaceCensus Systems:

NEWCASTLE
R 6 #12 SUADELA WON $4.10 PL $2.00
GOLD COAST
R 6 # 1 A TAD APART WON $5.60 PL $1.90
R 3 # 1 ELIAZAR 3RD PL $1.30
EAGLE FARM
R 1 # 1 BOREHOLE WON $4.50 PL $1.70
R 1 # 1 BOREHOLE WON $4.50 PL $1.70 (double qualifier)
R 1 # 1 BOREHOLE WON $4.50 PL $1.70 (triple qualifier)
BELMONT PARK
R 8 # 7 THE ALLEGED

Average Win Dividend: $4.64
Average Place Dividend: $1.72
Win S/R: 71.40%
Place S/R: 85.70%

WIN PLACE
Outlay: $7.00 $7.00
Return: $23.20 $10.30
Profit: $16.20 $3.30
P.O.T.: 231.40% 47.10%

*Note only Tattsbet dividends were used, returns would have greatly increased using best tote, Betfair SP etc.

If you would so kind as to report to Bletchley Park today at 1500 hrs, Mr Prince - there is an interesting chap there I would like you to meet.

Cheers LG

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30th September 2013, 01:04 PM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Will do LG

4th October 2013, 01:31 AM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 4,424

The RaceCensus systems finished September with a profit.
Detailed below are the summary statistics and an important highlight of the importance of obtaining the best price, or at least better than a single tote price.

September:



                      WIN      PLACE

Races Bet:            98        98

Races Won:            31        62

Strike Rate:          31.00%     62.00%

Outlay:             $100.00    $100.00

Return:            $107.54     $99.78

Profit:               $7.54     $-0.22

P.O.T.:                7.50%     -0.20%

Average Dividend:     $3.47      $1.61

Using Best Tote for these selections returned $112.84
Using Betfair SP (less commission) returned $113.29*
*Assuming full 5% commission.

Using Betfair SP returned a profit for September of 13.29 units and a POT of 13.29%.
The strike rate was similar to favourites, although many were not first favourite.
The maximum win dividend for Betfair was $6.71 (Net), meaning no double figure winners made up the profit!
The average Betfair win dividend was only $3.65 (Net).

And we kicked off October on a winning note:



02/10/2013 CANTERBURY

R 3 # 6  WIND BENDER          WON  $2.10 PL  $1.40

02/10/2013 BELMONT 

R 5 # 8  PERFECT KISS         WON  $2.30 PL  $1.40*

02/10/2013 BELMONT

R 5 # 8  PERFECT KISS         WON  $2.30 PL  $1.40**

02/10/2013 BELMONT

R 1 # 1  OUR ROAD TRADER      WON  $1.70 PL  $1.30 

R 5 # 8  PERFECT KISS         WON  $2.30 PL  $1.40***

01/10/2013 TOWNSVILLE

R 6 # 2  EUREKA DUBAI  unplaced    



Perfect Kiss was a triple selection highlighted in three of our systems.                     



October statistics:

                 WIN      PLACE

Selections:       6         6

Winners:          5         5

S.R.:        83.30%     83.30%

Outlay:       $6.00      $6.00

Return   :     $10.70      $6.90

Profit :       $4.70      $0.90

P.O.T. :      78.30%     15.00%



The October results are single tote returns only.



A video overview of RaceCensus is available by clicking the last link in my signature.

4th October 2013, 06:51 AM

PaulD01

Member

Join Date: Mar 2013

Posts: 333

Hi CP

Great work.

One point worth noting and updating in your results/software is that from May 1 2012, Betfair's market base rate on all thoroughbred, harness and greyhound races in Australia and New Zealand increased from 5% to 6.5%. Overall, this would of course have a significant affect on the results for Betfair based dividends.

__________________
Regards

Paul Daily - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd (Director)
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database; with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate performance ratings that include Hong Kong.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/

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