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#1
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Betfair SP Market Accuracy
Has anyone else noticed how much tighter the markets have become?
This is not just because of the increased commission levy, because UK is twice as tighter. Not just talking about the SP market percentages, although they have also tightened considerably, but within those markets, the rankings have moved to where there is very little room to move. For example: Favourite prices have become more accurate and so have extreme longshots, almost every ranking has become more accurate to it's chance of winning. Let's say we have a $2.00 favourite with the bookies, it's either $2.50 on Betfair or $1.80. The Betfair market is actually more accurate. Going through the market data, it's been almost squeezed of every drop! Of course there's still value to be had for methods, selections, systems and approaches, but speaking of blanket SP markets, all value either way has near evapourated!
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#2
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Interesting observation
Thanks for bringing it to our attention CP |
#3
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I would have thought more money = more accurate markets. Has the amount traded on SP increased ? |
#4
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Likely yes imo but could be wrong |
#5
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No I don't think it has that much, just that the money is smarter.
Just updated more data, and it's clear the prices are more accurate within the SP data.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 412,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/12/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
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