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Old 7th April 2014, 07:53 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink Betting Outsiders

I have been considering a system for betting outsiders for $5 on Betfair because of their usually higher divvies on S.P. than on the TABS.

For example, on Saturday the winner at Flemington R8 paid $55 on the TAB whilst $140 on S.P. Betfair, Eagle Farm R8 paid $111 whilst $210 on Betfair, Morphetville R6 $61 compared $240. There have been more instances quite frequently, even yesterday there were $45, $60, $90, $40 winners. Over the last seven days the system would have shown a profit on six days, and over the past three days it would have provided a profit of about $1,500.

For convenience I will show the selections NOT to bet, so all other horses in the race to be bet $5 S.P. on Betfair.

Ararat
1/4,5,9
2/9
3/12
4/7,11,12
5/3,4
6/2,4,5,10,11,12,15
7/1,3
8/1,2,3,4

Armidale
1/3,8
2/1,3,10,11
3/3,6,7,8,10,11
5/2,4
6/2,3,4,5,6,8,9
7/2,3,5,6

By my reckoning there are 101 selections today which is an outlay of $505 which I shall bet. I know the outlay is huge (over $5000 over the past 3 days) but I'm hoping and somewhat confident.
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