Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 29th January 2023, 04:57 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,456
Default Lay Short Favs

I was watching a youtube vid about laying runners that price is shorter than the percentage win, as an example a horse prices at even money with a win sr of 25%, can some one test some rules for me please.

Min 5 starts
Less than 30% SR
BFSP between $1.70 and $2.20

Min 5 starts
Less than 25% SR
BFSP between $1.70 and $2.20
__________________
One Drive

"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out."
--moeee
_______________________________________________
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 2nd February 2023, 07:41 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,425
Default

Hi Shaun,
I'd test it for you but I don't have Betfair prices, only tote prices.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 3rd February 2023, 08:38 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,456
Default

Could you test it using tote, i know it is not the same but will give me a starting point, cheers.
__________________
One Drive

"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out."
--moeee
_______________________________________________
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 22nd February 2023, 08:43 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,522
Default

I ran the test against betfair prices

Both were losers. Commission costs kills both.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 26th February 2023, 09:46 AM
Chad328 Chad328 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 6
Default

G'day Lads,

I do this in the Greyhound markets, ONLY on less than full fields.

Been a Greyhound punter more years than I can remember & if there's one thing that sticks out more than ever it's short fields allow more room/lines/runs for other runners that they ordinarily would not get with a full field.

Add to this Directional Mapping, what's the dog doing once the lids ping & what are the others in the race doing, are they stepping left/right, what are their splits like etc etc

Has worked well for years, I target sub $1.50 Favs

Cheers,
Chad
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 2nd March 2023, 07:26 PM
astatyne astatyne is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 14
Default

you guys heard of robobet.com.au?
you can set it to lay every horse under $1.50 automatically
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 2nd March 2023, 10:33 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,456
Default

Can you add selections, say i have 5 runners i won't to bet on for the day?
__________________
One Drive

"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out."
--moeee
_______________________________________________
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 5th March 2023, 05:11 PM
astatyne astatyne is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 14
Default

yeah, looks like it. you can add a bunch of horses to back or lay and it will bet before the off for you. favourites,non favourites and whatever tracks you want.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 6th March 2023, 07:45 AM
theoldguy theoldguy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 8
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chad328
G'day Lads,

I do this in the Greyhound markets, ONLY on less than full fields.

Been a Greyhound punter more years than I can remember & if there's one thing that sticks out more than ever it's short fields allow more room/lines/runs for other runners that they ordinarily would not get with a full field.

Add to this Directional Mapping, what's the dog doing once the lids ping & what are the others in the race doing, are they stepping left/right, what are their splits like etc etc

Has worked well for years, I target sub $1.50 Favs

Cheers,
Chad
Chad..spot on with your thinking..back in the 70s I was a bagman for a bookie doing gippsland dogs..."old bill" used to lay short priced favs in small fields thinking along your lines ..didnt lay every one only the ones that didnt "mapped"well ..cheers ..T.O.G.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10th March 2023, 08:04 PM
Chad328 Chad328 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 6
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by theoldguy
Chad..spot on with your thinking..back in the 70s I was a bagman for a bookie doing gippsland dogs..."old bill" used to lay short priced favs in small fields thinking along your lines ..didnt lay every one only the ones that didnt "mapped"well ..cheers ..T.O.G.


Evening TOG,

That's brilliant stuff to hear mate, it works a treat when they dont map well, you would have seen it all, every avenue used to turn a quid & I'd imagine many colourful stories to tell from your time on the bags.

Cheers,
Chad
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 11:42 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655