Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 1st May 2014, 06:32 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Default Testing an Outsider Lay Place System

This is Lay only for the Place because the profit per race is generally much greater than the profit when laying for the Win. The selections are:

Wyong
5/7
6/10
7/5
8/13

W'bool
1/7
4/7
5/11
6/7
7/12
8/19

Rocky
2/6
3/8
6/10
7/4

Wagga
2/16
3/2
5/5
6/15
8/16

Bunbury
1/5
2/10
5/14
6/9
7/13
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 1st May 2014, 05:28 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

There were 20 smiles from the the 21 selections for a profit of $93.49. I also layed them not to win their individual races for a profit of $32.11. A good day.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 2nd May 2014, 06:20 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Today's Lay selections are:

Wagga
2/11
3/14
4/17
5/13
6/14
7/10
8/22

Bendigo
2/5
3/11
5/18
6/16
7/18
8/19

Sun Coast
1/13
2/16
3/10
4/13
5/17
6/13
7/15
8/17

M'brook
1/8
2/10
5/8
6/10
7/3


I'll be laying them to both Win and Place.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 2nd May 2014, 11:01 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Amendment - because no 13 Sun Coast R1 has been scratched it has been replaced by No.10.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 2nd May 2014, 04:30 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

A bad day. Laying for a Win lost $19.85 and for the Place lost $18.08.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 3rd May 2014, 10:19 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Today's selections:

Hawkesbury
1/6
3/4
4/16
5/12
6/10
7/15
8/11

Caulfield
2/7
3/13
4/7
5/13
6/7
7/5
8/13

Ipswich
2/17
3/8
4/10
5/7
6/13
8/16

Morphetville
1/12
2/8
4/9
5/14
6/6
7/10
8/14
9/16

Newcastle
1/7
2/9
4/11
5/10
6/7
8/1

Gold Coast
1/6
2/21
3/6
4/9
5/19
7/7
8/8

Ballina
1/7
2/11
3/1
4/7
5/18
6/3

Belmont
2/7
3/6
4/4
5/10
6/9
7/5
8/13

Toowoomba
1/10
2/10
3/10
4/11
5/7
6/4
7/9

Lots of action - so it's probable today will wither make or break the method.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 3rd May 2014, 11:34 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

I've now obtained the selections for Ballina. They are ;

3/9
4/13
5/12
6/2
7/11
8/3
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 4th May 2014, 06:14 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Unfortunately yesterday did beak the system. There were only 2 accidents from the 64 selections but it resulted in a loss because the 62 smiles were very low. And there were 13 accidents for the Place system. One of the divvies on Unitab paid $24.60 and another $15.60.

Today I'm starting a new method which I will show on another thread - it will be a Back for a Place method on Betfair ($5.00). The selections will be those that I would have layed for a Place, so it's a reverse situation. Yesterday there would have been 13 successes from the 64 selections. On Unitab the profit would have been about 90% so I expect the profit would have been even higher on Betfair.

It would be expected to have a very low strike rate but hopefully very high payments. I expect to give the method a few days before I possibly think about reverting back to laying.

Last edited by michaelg : 4th May 2014 at 06:20 AM.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 12:28 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655