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#11
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Interesting, I wonder though do you have any stats if ONLY the favs @$3.20 + are layed? |
#12
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#13
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I can do it but probably not for a few days. I have a couple of other projects I am working on.
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#14
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it got the better of me so I ran it :
It shows an 11% loss laying the fav based on the original rules. |
#15
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in fact swap the rule of laying to backing and you make a 2% profit after commission.
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#16
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Started playing around with the rules:
BACK THE FAV THAT MEETS THE FOLLOWING LSW FAV =>10 Runners Not Heavy Age 3 to 7. Barrier >= 10 Profit of 11.98% |
#17
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UK summary of the rules - shows a back profit
__________________
Dear Lord Please let me break even. I need the money. |
#18
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Just goes to show that some of the claims you get bombarded with on a constant basis are not worth the paper they are written on. Barrier =>10 shows that if you in form then you can get across quick enough to negate the draw
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#19
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Beton
I think the UK have standardized on barriers now but until recently each course decided which side barrier 1 would be on. With so many straight races sometimes the low numbers are better and sometimes not. On some big race meetings all winners on the day come from the same side of the draw. I would think that unlikely unless there is a bias of some sort - going, wind, drainage et al. It's a dog's breakfast.
__________________
Dear Lord Please let me break even. I need the money. |
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