Originally Posted by Try Try Again

Hi The Ocho,

Could the drop in results for Sept & Oct be the change of class of horses coming into their preparations during those months. Just a thought.

Originally Posted by The Ocho

Hi Try Try Again.

I'm not sure the races I look at would really change as they are run quite early in the day and would involve mostly maiden races except on Saturdays I suppose.

If anyone can turn this string of results into a winning system I will let you know what it's all about. They need to be run from bottom to top as I was checking them backwards, lol (like most things I do ops: ).

Something I tried to check was having 3 banks or similar rather than one bank. 100% recovery over the next day would leave a bank pretty vulnerable and the same for a 50% recovery.

First entry below is from 30 September and last entry at bottom is from 1st September):
1
1
1
1
1
-5.24
1
-8.88
1
1
1
1
1
-11.66
-4.12
1
1
-7.01
1
-7.3
-2.1
1
1
1
1
1
1
-1.03
1
-2.16

Originally Posted by Star

Unfortunately my thinking only goes so far, then I am in the unknowns. But having tried all sorts of loss chasing to a limited degree I have found their comes a time or at least it does for me when I have to pull the pin and abandon the series.

You are already doing that with the SAW stratergy per day. Maybe an extension of that will be when you go into that losing run sequence and the recovery bet starts to escalate when the price is really short and you start to feel a bit of stress building up.

That point is different for everybody, depending on their personal circumstances.

Once we start thinking about how to deal with this, to me, unfortunately, the stratergy to win $1 per day is the restricting element. And, if you want to pursue this $1 a day, great, go for it, because, until I get the negatives out of my mind, I cannot be a positive influence which is exactly what you do not need.

I hope someone else can advise on how to extend your life into that losing run.

Now, you have to remember that at present I am into a losing run sequence of 16, fortunately, their was no bet yesterday and today but it looks like their might be six on Saturday. I have decided to pull the pin on 20 lossers or 22 which means that saturday either sees the series win or lose then I might start again with a slight altering of the rules.

The most I can lose in a series is $56 on a 20 loss series. Maybe an adaption of the Retirement Plan might be worth looking at. I noticed how close it was to what I want to do, but mine does not have the fancy maths built into it, but the bets are extremly close to what I do anyway based on my average odds.

It is the odds on and short prices that kill you but the Retirement Plan sort od caters for that. Also have alook at The Staking Machine staking plans, their might be something their that gives you some inspiration so you can adapt to suit your style and comfort zone. Bear in mind that nobody has the perfect one, so, your adaption might just be for you.

Good Luck

Star

Originally Posted by Star

Now, that was written before I hit gold on the eighteenth bet. The $44 winner at Warwick Farm.

But what I said I still think, and the reason for that is by trying to win $1 you leave yourself with no margin for luck.

Making sense, probably not, but, my philosopy keeps me in the game even if I can not spell it and can't be assed to spell check after the drenching we have got here, plus without power for 36 hours.

Pete