My thoughts around adelaide.
Race 1- Not a good race for a bet. If meriwether is right should bolt it in, but the odds are ridiculous. Chilli stoush is the one that could win but wouldnt be prepared to bet against the toppy with lecky on board and the claim.
Race 2- Ill be looking for some value here and going for wyndam power. Can race very well fresh and hayes would have him ready. There looks to be no value around the top 2, so hopefully they come for these and we get nice e/w odds. Starhere is a master over this distance and will be hard to beat.
Race 3- Ill be all over thorton here. A lot to like about his last run where he was doing the best work at the line, extra 100m here suits. Good trifecta race here, ill include wavefront, who was beaten that far last start when the rider lost his whip, arondan, who got in all sorts of trouble in the same race and elmessiah who mixes form but certainly is capable.
Race 4- Going with charmed indeed and ubetibite here. Pretty open race with a lot of chance so should get some value. Charmed was finishing strongly over 1200 behind tivation so should thrive on the 1400 while ubetibite made a lot of ground in the same race. will work around these 2.
Race 5- Will have a crack at reannag here. Has first up form, has been racing in better company, and if he is right will give this a good shake at e/w odds. Dangers would be umaquest and pranceloit.
Race 6- prepared to risk the toppy here and going with leaders pride. Pretty keen here in what is a tough race. Forget its last run never in it, back to a more suitable distance today and should race well
Race 7-confident of open cut continuing on its winning ways here. Barrier shouoldnt bother it too much and will be hard to beat . Include Rosden, rally and nikalapko for the multiples.
Race 8- Will be sticking with major league here, was on him last start and no reason to be jumping off now. Last 2 runs have been very good should be hard to run down

Good luck to all 2day...

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