G'day Paddy
smokey island is the interesting runner. well travelled and measured up over east. I think covertly is in too well at the weights though. Rescuer also a chance, better suited over this trip compared to the 1600m last start. The last will be a good betting race. expect plenty of money for wire detonater which could mean urastat and artic park will be the value runners. harvey factor on U may bring it in a couple of points though