21st August 2018, 03:28 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 641
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The Rugby Championship, Second Round
The World Rugby (IRB) rating system seems to provide accurate odds. I mentioned that the Rugby World rating favourite, adjusted for home advantage, won 86% or five rugby union world cups. Their favourites won both game in round one of the Rugby Champioship. The odds using my derivation of the World Rugby equations were generally a bit higher than bookmaker decimal odds, which we would expect, given that bookmaker odds are set to make a profit. Hats off to Rugby World ratings.
I am attaching the calculations again for all 12 games.
Cheers,
Ray
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