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9th July 2015, 08:05 PM
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Banned
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Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 366
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[QUOTE=Rinconpaul]Further to Josh. Anyone can say weight the ranking more for this and less for that. That's all it is, an opinion! Without the data to back it up, how can you know? That's where RACE CENSUS and RTW have it all down pat. If don't want to pay for the historical data, then it leaves you no choice but to collect the data yourself. I favour this method QUOTE]
You are now where I was 20 years ago.
What you are attempting is admirable but will take you forever,
To get it right in analysing this way.
I can tell you now if I had to do it again no way.
Unfortunately R/P is 100% correct.
R.2.W & Race Census have it there for you.
Whether it is right for you I cannot know.
I learnt early, you have to spend money to make money
Subscribing to rating services, subs to racing magazines,(PPM)
Buying racing books, Punters Choice systems, racing seminars racing two horses (syndicate).
While getting "GELDED" along the way I was learning.
One thing for the guests & non-subscribers to read.
OPEN BM-60 RACES (NO-AGE RELATED).
ALL HORSES MIN OF 3 STARTS (BEFORE SCR).
SKY-1 (6G)
02/02/2014-05/06/2015.
OUT-3,400 (4W) (11.7%).
RET- 1440.(B/O/3 -S/P).
-1960.(L.O.T 57.6%).
AV-DIV-$3.6.
BIGGEST DIV $5.0.
Last winner 02/09/2014 R6-5 TAMWORTH..
Since then 18 consecutive losses.
I have hundreds of these & worse,
Regarding wizard panels opening favourites,
At certain tracks (MORNINGTON MY GOD),
1st opening fav in some race types.
As a bookie open your bag & let the punters throw,
Their money in it will not be coming back out.
But they are lay plans & who gives a F--- about them.
The point here is how can you analyse things like the above,
Into a ratings plan & make it profitable by analysing factors.
Do not want to put you off but that's the challenge you face.
So what can we learn with this post.
Review a certain Race-Type.
Look at the exact age & sex of the horse(s),
That win them
What selection(s) in your ratings compliments it.
THEN.
starts.
price
distance.
track condition(not to mention bias on the day to be recorded)
state.
country-provincial on & on it goes.
That's my 2 bobs worth.
Good luck with the thread & the ratings challenge.
Cheers.
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