2nd November 2014, 10:09 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 33
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Formula 1
Hey guys, new to this forum but not new to betting or staking plans.
Wondering if there is any interest in Formula 1 betting here?
Pre-season testing you can find some excellent odds given the slow response from Australian agencies in particular. I find they are slower to respond to breaking news than those based in Europe/UK (as you may well expect).
For instance, was able to get Hamilton @$8 and Rosberg @$18 in February to win the World Driver's Championship. WDC favourite Vettel was very short at ~$2 given he'd won 4 on the trot.
Three races to go, mathematically there are only 3 drivers who can win the WDC. Realistically, only one of the two Mercedes drivers will win, Hamilton and Rosberg. Hamilton leads by 17 points (25 points for a win).
From combinations of agencies they are priced at:
1.35 Hamilton
4.00 Rosberg
Giving a 1% arb.
With Rosberg on pole in Austin, and Hamilton suffering from brake issues which may carry into the race, Nico has a good chance of closing the gap.
If Nico wins, expect the 4.00 to come in significantly.
If Hamilton wins I wouldn't expect too much movement.
Love to hear your thoughts.
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