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Old 10th September 2014, 10:59 AM
PaulD01 PaulD01 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by evajb001
In regards to the Trainer/Jockey discussion what are people's thoughts on the following:

Any trainers that seem to be performing well and perceived as good trainers become overbet anyway and therefore by betting on the trainers not perceived as being good you obtain value anyway. This then counter-acts the 'performance' of the better trainers and therefore makes it rather negligible to take trainer's into account too much.

The only axterix next to the above statement would be that if you can identify the 'good' trainers before the market does then you may have some advantage.

Does the same then apply to jockeys? By the time you take into account the 'good' jockeys being overbet along with weight advantages for apprentices etc does it then become somewhat a moot point to take jockeys into account too much?

I'm interested in what others think. I'm sure some live by only backing the 'good' trainers and jockeys but it's not something I really take into account thus far due to the above with the exception being specific circumstances (just some examples):

- I like a horse expected to lead and win a little more if glen boss is on it
- I like the chances of a horse that may need to be patient or weave through the field a little more if Oli is on it


Hi Josh

Interesting point. Personally I factor jockeys and trainers into my assessments. I believe the key and a point that you raised is "if you can identify the 'good' trainers before the market does then you may have some advantage."

This brings me back to a recent RSN radio interview that I did that touches on several relevant points that address this and related issues. For those interested the link is:

https://soundcloud.com/rsn-racing/p...ratings-2-win-4
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Paul Daily - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd (Director)
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database; with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate performance ratings that include Hong Kong.
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