Are you seriously telling me you can't see why it started second fav ? Your talking Goulburn R9 number 6 Nodemme

50% win strike rate ?
Won first up before ?
Had only 2 career runs so likely to improve
Was coming down in class (slightly 22K vs 15K)
Had Pennza riding (perceived better then the other riders)
Had run 3rd in a recent barrier trial.

The other horses didn't seem to have much on it ....

I can see why it was fav, not that I would have bet it but I can see why.