18th May 2013, 07:25 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 225
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by domenic
Mmm...I have used manual & computer generated ratings for over 25 years. The way I use them will not suit everybody but basically this is what I do. I look at the top 4 in the ratings. I pay no attention to the rated price. If I think the race is suitable, the actual market will dictate if I bet or not. A good example was Race 5 at Belmont today, my top 4 were;
The Blues........$7.00 SP
Razed in Flames....$2.60
Burj Khalifa....$21.00
The Cavaleri...$8.50
A total of just over 69%. More than enough to bet, and a nice profit with The Blues winning. I wish each race was that easy !!!
It takes a long time and a lot of patience to use ratings.
A lot of punters make the mistake of looking at the top rated runner only. This, in my opinion is a road to the poor house. You should endeavour to spread your bets according to the available market.
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Do your records indicate that backing overlays only is no better than backing the underlays? I tend to think that this is true. Im working on some WA ratings myself and have found I can isolate the winner regularly in my top 4, with the return of these far outperforming the remainder. I tend to think your methodology has merit. Still a work in progress
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