LG
the first thing is how many bets do you get at <$1.50? In reality there are few. Our objective is to pick the winner more often at greater odds. Getting firmers is not the answer. Not backing easers is not the answer either. Picking more winners is the only answer.
The trouble with stats is that they are overall and general as opposed to being specific. Do you back all horses in all races? Do you lay all horses in all races? These are the only situations that stats can mean anything.
These figures are for 5472 runners in 1419 races producing 868 winners FOR A 13% LOSS. roughly 4 horses per race. But these are more the races and the horses that we would pick and back. Of these 3010 eased 387 won for $2561, 930 firmed 149 won for $711, 337 stayed the same for 39 wins and $239, and 1106 were streamers at 242 wins and $990. But roughly the same number of winners eased as those that shortened. The shorteners have a better SR but a lower divvy. There still needs more to narrow it down.