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Old 20th January 2013, 05:08 PM
rails run rails run is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 102
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Hi TTA

Nice work. Although this is a lose chasing method at least you have concentrated it at the correct end of the market. You will have some long outs but it will recover relatively quickly. A decent bank will manage your psyche & your draw downs.

I like the fact you are working with 2 racing factors that have stood the test of time...
1. Strike rate of top end fav's
2. Public pricing
You are not trying to 'out-smart' anything.

After 11 days you already had 64 races in your database. Your largest draw downs will be obvious in a few more months of testing.

Have you recorded place S/R? Perhaps this could be applied on PLACE betting. Your recovery bets would sometimes get large but your runs of outs will halve.

The other suggestion I'd like to offer is to pick your races selectively. If a race has 4 or more runners opening under $10 then perhaps it's a good one to skip.

Good luck with this.
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