View Single Post
  #4  
Old 13th December 2012, 08:50 PM
garyf garyf is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 366
Smile

Think this is what you are after.


The stats cover Sydney and Melbourne combined, Brisbane and Adelaide and Perth combined, the major provincials (Wyong, Werribee etc), and the

country meetings.

The first set of data relates to WRAT:

All figures show the win percentage for each category

First the WRAT runners in ratings by groups.

Wrat points Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry

100 pointer 21.2 22.6 25.0 25.8

95 to 100 29.9 32.1 33.5 33.7

90 to 100 45.9 48.3 50.4 48.8

85 to 100 61.6 60.8 61.8 60.9

80 to 100 72.3 71.7 70.8 71.0

75 to 100 82.2 80.0 78.5 80.0

70 to 100 89.1 87.2 84.6 87.3

The WRAT runners in ranked order.

Wrat ranking Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry

1 - 1 21.2 22.6 25.0 25.8

1 - 2 36.2 40.9 42.9 42.5

1 - 3 49.8 52.9 56.3 55.6

1 - 4 60.9 63.3 66.8 66.9

1 - 5 70.7 71.4 74.1 75.1

1 - 6 78.2 78.0 80.2 82.3

1 - 7 84.2 83.9 85.0 87.7

Now the TRAT figures.

The first set of data relates to TRAT ratings grouped.

Trat points Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry

100 pointer 20.1 19.8 23.5 21.7

95 to 100 36.2 37.9 39.0 37.8

90 to 100 55.1 58.3 55.8 55.0

85 to 100 68.7 69.1 66.5 67.5

80 to 100 79.2 77.4 75.2 76.5

75 to 100 85.7 84.8 82.2 83.9

70 to 100 91.3 89.4 87.1 89.2

The TRAT runners in ranked order.

Trat ranking Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry

1 - 1 20.1 19.9 23.6 21.7

1 - 2 35.2 37.9 42.4 40.9

1 - 3 49.0 52.0 55.0 54.4

1 - 4 59.1 62.0 66.0 65.6

1 - 5 70.4 71.3 73.8 74.2

1 - 6 77.6 78.2 79.6 81.2

1 - 7 83.6 84.0 84.7 86.8

Next, the Consensus Poll runners in ranked order.

Poll ranking Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry

1 - 1 18.4 19.9 23.8 23.3

1 - 2 32.2 36.0 40.2 39.6

1 - 3 45.0 48.1 51.9 52.5

1 - 4 55.5 58.4 61.0 62.7

1 - 5 65.5 67.8 68.8 70.6

1 - 6 75.3 75.6 76.2 78.8

1 - 7 82.3 81.9 81.7 84.4

Also …

100 pointer Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry

is the favourite 35.1% 33.8% 35.0% 34.7%

100 pointer if 27.8% 27.1% 28.9% 28.4%

highest win %

100 pointer if

highest average 27.1% 26.9% 29.3% 30.3%

prizemoney

Don’t have the time tonight to comment on the figures except say that overall they seemed to have improved last year on their long term figures.

Also it is worth noting the strength in the provincial and country figures despite the presence of many maidens and class 1 races. In my opinion this is partly due to marginally smaller fields at some tracks but especially to the fact that these races lack the depth of the city fields which are very evenly graded, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne.

Also note how the addition of other factors (win %, average prizemoney etc) will improve the strike rate of the horse. hope this helps.

Cheers.
Garyf.
Reply With Quote