Don't want to be a wet towel, but I thought I'd just put my views on this into the arena.

All your scenario requirements are fine in their own right and I'm sure you'd catch lots of successful lays. The thing is all these statistics are known to the punting world in general so will have already been incorporated into the starting price, leaving you with a nil or worse profit on investment.

Demodicus is incorrect in suggesting the cherry picking of lays is a dream however. Jesters Girls are easily overcome with the correct strategies in place.

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"Not winning on a horse that came first is one thing.....Losing on a horse that didn't come first is something else entirely!!!"