1st May 2012, 07:24 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 641
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Super 15 Week 11
I'm sorry that I didn't notice Jimmyz's question but Thurston's was spot on with his answer. The computer rankings adjust each week and represent season-to-date, based on actual margin of victory versus actual margin of vistory. I have some ifnromation attached to each week's predictions about the method and using predictions for being a Smartgambler.
There have been an unusual number of upsets so far, affecting betting profit, largely traceable to home teams not playing as well as in the past. Home advantage is accounted for based on past data. This year, home teams have only a 35-31 record. They have outscored the visitors by only 1.5 points per game instead of 3.9 points per game for domestic matches and 5.4 points per game for international matches as in past years.
Good luck with week 11.
Cheers,
Ray
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