Hi Kumite

I checked TAB New Zealand odds. I do not see the Lions as an overlay bet. I have fair odds of 1.95 but TAB offers only 1.65. No value bet. I have the Cheetahs at 2.06 vs. TAB at 2.15, a mild value bet. Half Kelly suggests a bet of 1.9% of your bankroll. I have the Crusaders at 1.85 vs TAB at 2.10, a half Kelly 6.1% overlay bet. I have the Bulls at 1.65 vs TAB at 1.80, a half Kelly bet of 5.7%. That adds to 13.5% of your bankroll.

Remember, my odds are for ratings at the end of last season. They haven't been adjusted for player, manager or strategy changes. Be cautious for the first four weesk while the computer adjusts ratings.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani