One of the two predictive modeling experts behind the Smartgambler Rugby Union betting tips package we used to offer, will be posting his data and tips on the World Cup in this thread.

Beaton Research and Consulting Director of Research, Advanced Analytics, Stefan Yelas, has a particular passion for sports prediction modelling, and given he’s also a native of New Zealand, it wasn’t going to be long before he set his sights on the 2011 Rugby World Cup.

He’s just finished calculating the probability of a team winning this year’s World Cup, based on current performance ratings and 10,000 simulations of world cup matches, through all pool games and knock-out stages.

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