22nd March 2006, 10:45 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,414
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This is a real important posting.
The maths is the most important part of the punt.
It doesn't matter how good at "doing the form" you are, if you can't get good enough odds to make it win financially.
As I see member after member posting "what about this angle or that angle", I can almost instinctively know that the odds will be too bad to make a profit.
The experts world over have already factored in most of these angles into the pricing structure to ensure that you cannot win.
One has to look outside the square or for a very slight niche where something has been overlooked. It's not easy, and certainly not as easy as finding the best horse in EVERY race, nor top jockey, trainers etc.
It exists in minute details that most punters do not have the time nor facility to find.
One can defy the maths, but not Win betting every race, nor necessarily every day.
The more one bets, the more loss will occur, except in the case of an edge.
I foresee the situation where I will be using a betting exchange (not Betfair) to log bets at minimum and above prices each day, and expect only 10% of them to be matched or less.
The matched bets will add up to profit over several months, this is the way of the future in defying the maths.
One of my favourites systems, still wins to this day after years in real time betting, systems can also win, and you can win betting on favourites, but only if the edge exists by being selective.
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