21st March 2006, 04:18 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
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Comments on the validity of these results?
OK, so, my latest sys has the following:
Test period - 2 years
Total Bets - 5859 (about 55 per week)
Total Winners - 1504 (25.7%)
Total Outlay - $5859 ($1 on each theoretical)
Total Collect - $6276
Average dividend - $4.20
POT = +7.1%
This is purely using Super TAB odds, so potential for improvement there with the corporates etc.
Of those 1504 winners, 73 of them were $10 or longer (slightly less than 5% of them). The longest priced winner was a 100/1 pop, the second highest priced winner was $33. There were two $33 winners, one $25 winner, seven winners about $20 or so, the rest were less than $17.
So, if you take out the highest TEN dividends, it still shows a 2% profit on turnover, on Super TAB odds.
However, there were also 90 winners priced shorter than $2.0, to show the flip side of the coin.
So, good people, what do we think of the viability and standup-edness of these stats?
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