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Old 10th March 2006, 11:31 AM
KennyVictor KennyVictor is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Mt Tamborine
Posts: 574
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As regards track differences - I've run the figures on NSW races using the SP to find the favorite or longest priced horse and the returns based on the NSW TAB payout.

Longest priced horses return.
  • about 56% of your cash with a strike rate of 2.33% on heavy tracks.
  • about 53% of your cash with a strike rate of 1.51% on slow tracks.
  • about 41% of your cash with a strike rate of 1.08% on dead tracks.
  • about 42% of your cash with a strike rate of 1.13% on good tracks.

Favorites return.
  • 88.02% of your cash with a strike rate of 31.18% on heavy tracks
  • 89.77% of your cash with a strike rate of 31.89% on slow tracks
  • 89.37% of your cash with a strike rate of 32.76% on dead tracks
  • 90.23% of your cash with a strike rate of 33.83% on good tracks
Not a great difference with favorites but the longshots seem to do better on worse tracks.

KV
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