8th March 2006, 01:13 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 172
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by KennyVictor
Hi Sportz,
The longest of the longshots - The horse with the highest SP. Could be track related I suppose. Don't know whether you would get a meaningful answer because the sample size is getting down with backing THE longshot after THE longshot has already won. It doesn't happen that often (1544 times in the last 10 years NSW races).
KV
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Hi KV!
I have done the same study, some time ago, on horses paying between $10 and $40.
I had the same outcome but far more pronounced. It's a definite goer, must have to do with the track on the day or how the races were run.
From memory there were a couple of meetings last week? maybe Morphettville and at least an other one where two or more longsots won.
Going over $40 or maybe $50 is a bit more risky, they just do not win often enough. As to wet tracks? I think favs win far more often on wet than on any other track. Haven't done the numbers but I am almost certain.
Cheers. |