4th March 2006, 11:38 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
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KV,
ok to avoid confusion I did the following :
Took some data I had stored from Dec - Jan and essentially backfitted the results so that it only had horses which had won or placed. Any horse which didn't at least place I found a reason to exclude ( hence backfitting ).
I then checked it over the previous 10 days and found it had 10 selections for 10 Winners. But I didn't test these real time ( but they were not part of the data which was used for backfitting).
I haven't bothered going back further.
The backfitted results were :
Races : 45 ( 2 months of data)
Wins : 30
Places : 45
WIN ROT : 183%
PLACE ROT : 153%
I don't believe the above figures are worth anything except to show the system might have some potential. Hence I only put up the last 10 days worth as these were not part of the backfitted data.
The first "live" selection where I actually picked the winner before the race was the first one I posted here. Regardless of that the system had selected 11 winners in a row.
Therefore new stats are (with those 11 winners and a second) :
Races : 57
Wins : 41
Places : 57
Hope that clears it up.
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