View Single Post
  #11  
Old 28th February 2006, 03:49 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

Well that is 11 from 11 now.

Ok I promised I would give the gist of the rules for this system if the selection won so I better be a man of my word and pass it on :

The system uses some different ratings which I have developed for different factors on each horse , sort of like the neurals but I found their values weren't always correct or meaningful.

Essentially the system goes the following :

1. Best Average and/or Total Prizemoney.
2. Best Career Rating ( Determined by Win%, Place% and Prizemoney ).
3. Best last 5 start rating ( determined by Last starts and Lengths beaten as well as some minor adjustments for class and track ).
4. Best Jockey Rating OR Best Trainer Rating in the race determined by statistics collected from ********** and AAP.
5. Total Ratings for all four factors ( jockey or trainer only include 1 ) is over 380 (out of 400).

The reasons I use these variables/ratings are :

1. Best average money or total money narrows down to those horses placing and/or winning in better races (paying more prizemoney).
2. Best career rating finds you those that performance consistently.
3. Best last 5 starts rating gives you a current snap shot of how they are performing now.
4. Best Jockey and/or Trainer is the X factor. A good jockey can get something extra out of a horse during the race. A good trainer can select optimum times to race, and the best races to run in. A good trainer can usually get something extra out of the horse.
5. The total rating has to be high to ensure that only the best selections are tipped.

Sorry I couldn't give everyone something nice and easy to follow... but I hope this points people in the general direction.

Good Luck. I'll post anymore selections as they arise but there aren't too many that come up each day to day.

Good Luck.
Reply With Quote