28th February 2006, 05:19 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
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Yes ,it is that site.
Its the weird ones with strange looking form that often get up & pay the double digit returns .
By using this process of taking the worst CF rating , the decision is made for us when separating the top 2 selections.
One would expect the stronger CF (current form) rated horse to get up more often & it does , but not enough to make level stakes profit.
It is often said , that one has to try & look outside the square if one wishes to find value so as to place ourselves in front of the game.
Another reason for leaving out the first 3 races, is this is where statisticly, favs have the highest SR .
So far there have been 92 bets for 20 wins = 22% SR
Ret. $154.10
O/L $92.00
Prof +$62.10 =67.5% POT
I expect to see this POT to come down over time.
I`ll say one thing , one wont become bored because of shortage of action.
Most experts claim that long term profit, can not be made betting this number of bets each day & they may very well be right, but I beleive they are talking about chasing in form horses & there are not enough of those to go around to sustain this volumn of bets . So, we are taking the stance that there must be a number of out of form horses getting up, in between ,at juicy odds.
It could be all about the Ying & Yang .
e.g. Male & Female...Fire & Water...Profit & Loss
They must co-incide to make the difference.
Lets see if the Ying wheels fall off for this Yang process.
Cheers.
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Cheers.
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