12th December 2005, 06:28 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 402
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After noting the huge AusTote premiums on favourite Makybe Diva and some poor returns on longshots I started to wonder whether favourites were relatively underbet on AusTote and hence even better value.
So I tried that test which did not confirm my suspicions.
This one seems more conclusive.
Ignore NSW divs >= $60 (aka flukes)
It appears the roughest 3rd of NSW winners pays even better on AusTote.
NSW | Wins | Aus/NSW
| < $7 | 2,112 | +18.3%
| >= $7 | 1,093 | +22.3%
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