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STRIKE RATES REQ.HELP
Would it be possible to obtain the strike rates of the DFS ratings.I use these but have no idea of performance.Any help greatly appreciated.Robot Tom
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garyf is your man.
Cheers LG |
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To check. If you can't find what you want let me know and i will check my data for, You but may be a while getting back to you. The data is a bit old but doesn't differ all that much to current day strike rates. http://www.everyrace.com/forum/ Cheers. Gary |
Think this is what you are after.
The stats cover Sydney and Melbourne combined, Brisbane and Adelaide and Perth combined, the major provincials (Wyong, Werribee etc), and the country meetings. The first set of data relates to WRAT: All figures show the win percentage for each category First the WRAT runners in ratings by groups. Wrat points Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry 100 pointer 21.2 22.6 25.0 25.8 95 to 100 29.9 32.1 33.5 33.7 90 to 100 45.9 48.3 50.4 48.8 85 to 100 61.6 60.8 61.8 60.9 80 to 100 72.3 71.7 70.8 71.0 75 to 100 82.2 80.0 78.5 80.0 70 to 100 89.1 87.2 84.6 87.3 The WRAT runners in ranked order. Wrat ranking Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry 1 - 1 21.2 22.6 25.0 25.8 1 - 2 36.2 40.9 42.9 42.5 1 - 3 49.8 52.9 56.3 55.6 1 - 4 60.9 63.3 66.8 66.9 1 - 5 70.7 71.4 74.1 75.1 1 - 6 78.2 78.0 80.2 82.3 1 - 7 84.2 83.9 85.0 87.7 Now the TRAT figures. The first set of data relates to TRAT ratings grouped. Trat points Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry 100 pointer 20.1 19.8 23.5 21.7 95 to 100 36.2 37.9 39.0 37.8 90 to 100 55.1 58.3 55.8 55.0 85 to 100 68.7 69.1 66.5 67.5 80 to 100 79.2 77.4 75.2 76.5 75 to 100 85.7 84.8 82.2 83.9 70 to 100 91.3 89.4 87.1 89.2 The TRAT runners in ranked order. Trat ranking Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry 1 - 1 20.1 19.9 23.6 21.7 1 - 2 35.2 37.9 42.4 40.9 1 - 3 49.0 52.0 55.0 54.4 1 - 4 59.1 62.0 66.0 65.6 1 - 5 70.4 71.3 73.8 74.2 1 - 6 77.6 78.2 79.6 81.2 1 - 7 83.6 84.0 84.7 86.8 Next, the Consensus Poll runners in ranked order. Poll ranking Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry 1 - 1 18.4 19.9 23.8 23.3 1 - 2 32.2 36.0 40.2 39.6 1 - 3 45.0 48.1 51.9 52.5 1 - 4 55.5 58.4 61.0 62.7 1 - 5 65.5 67.8 68.8 70.6 1 - 6 75.3 75.6 76.2 78.8 1 - 7 82.3 81.9 81.7 84.4 Also … 100 pointer Syd Mel Br, Ad,Pe Prov Ctry is the favourite 35.1% 33.8% 35.0% 34.7% 100 pointer if 27.8% 27.1% 28.9% 28.4% highest win % 100 pointer if highest average 27.1% 26.9% 29.3% 30.3% prizemoney Don’t have the time tonight to comment on the figures except say that overall they seemed to have improved last year on their long term figures. Also it is worth noting the strength in the provincial and country figures despite the presence of many maidens and class 1 races. In my opinion this is partly due to marginally smaller fields at some tracks but especially to the fact that these races lack the depth of the city fields which are very evenly graded, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne. Also note how the addition of other factors (win %, average prizemoney etc) will improve the strike rate of the horse. hope this helps. Cheers. Garyf. |
ROBOT
DFS RATINGS.
A big tx to his Lordship and Garyf for such a quick responce. I take it Gf that these results are from your own data. Is it possible to download the results direct from Skyform or should I now create my own data . As before all help appreciated and maybe you may be able to assist in setting it up. My IT skills very limited but can enter formulas etc to eXcell.Merry Xmas to all threaders Robot Tom. |
Quote:
The way i incorporate my own (selection technique(s)) is completely, Different thus my strike rates differ hugely to the ones i gave out. Mine are much higher. I have incorporated my own spreadsheet where i download the, Panels (all 8 of them) then enter the final qualifiers with various filters for profitability manually i might add, as a lot of things are sourced from other sites etc. I suggest you visit the website i posted to get more ideas on, How to go about using the selections and what suits your individual needs. Good luck with it, they can be very profitable when used the right way. You will have to do work yourself to determine the best way to go about it. I will advise when i can, but you have to realize this is my full time job, So i can only answer certain questions. Cheers. Garyf. |
Using the D.F.S panels these are my bettable races today.
M/ville. R1-6-8 B/DGO. R3-5-7-8. IPSWICH. R2-5 P/HAM. R3-5-6 MURWILL. R4-7-8-9 SCONE. R2-5-6-7-8 I don't bet on W.A as many of there Prov-Cntry dont, Have fixed odds. I also don't bet on night meetings. I don't bet on any of these races listed above, Where the opening bookies price is odds on, =<$1.95. Whether they get out to $2.0=> or greater later on. When i was doing my own form ratings and videos, My setup was completely different, re the race type and minimum price. With the D.F.S panels as they are different to what i was doing previously, After a stack of anaylsis,this is the way i choose to go. I average around 100 races per week. These 4 states and race types. Hope this helps. Cheers. Garyf. |
There is no evidence that supports W.A metro or their
PROV CNTRY Circuit and the night meetings run in the 3 states can't be profitable, Using the right panel(s) It's just for various reasons of my own, i choose not to bet there. Cheers. Gary. |
Tom to give you a bit of a start i suggest this.
Record the 1-2-3-4 Best Overall panel. Record the 1-2 Skyform rating panel. This will give you the best main chances till you, Decide what race types, States, odds etc, You want to bet on. A lot of the time you will have 4 selections sometimes 5, It's what and how you use them that determines profitability. That's a start, you can progress from there as more data accumulates. Cheers. Gary. |
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