RaceCensus Odds On Favourites
 

All Odds On Favourites
Selections: 23,751
Winners: 12,520
Strike Rate: 52.71%
Loss On Turnover: 11.65%

Odds On Favourites, By Field Size
Field Size=2 POT +2.86%
Field Size=3 POT +1.75%
Field Size=4 POT -15.04%
Field Size=5 POT -14.72%
Field Size=6 POT -12.30%
Field Size=7 POT -15.24%
Field Size=8 POT -10.90%
Field Size=9 POT -13.44%
Field Size=10 POT -9.52%
Field Size=11 POT -7.45%
Field Size=12 POT -8.70%
Field Size=13 POT -16.82%
Field Size=14 POT -6.87%
Field Size=15 POT -5.22%
Field Size=16 POT -6.02%
Field Size=17 POT -15.00%
Field Size=18 POT -100.00% (1 selection)
Field Size=19 POT -100.00% (1 selection)
Field Size=20+ POT nil selections

Odds On Favourites by Track Going
Fast POT -17.03%
Good POT -11.25%
Dead POT -11.70%
Slow POT -12.91%
Heavy -11.74%

Odds On Favourites by last start placing
First Starter POT -12.54%
Won POT -9.99%
2nd POT -11.78%
3rd POT -14.37%
Unplaced POT -11.83%

Odds On Favourites by Runs Since Spell
First Up from spell POT -10.08%
One Run since spell POT -9.81%
Two Runs since spell POT -11.03%
Three Runs since spell POT -11.20%
Four Runs since spell POT -12.58%
Five Runs since spell POT -14.72%
Six Runs since spell POT -17.31%
Seven Runs since spell POT -0.22%
Eight Runs since spell POT -18.85%
Nine Runs since spell POT -20.07%
Ten Runs since spell POT -21.30%

Odds On Favourites by Age
2yo POT -13.61%
3yo POT -11.48%
4yo POT -9.50%
5yo POT -14.97%
6yo POT -14.95%
7yo POT -10.37%
8yo POT -22.71%
9yo POT -6.22%
10yo POT -23.33%
11yo POT -64.00%

Odds On Favourites by Sex
Colt POT -10.48%
Filly POT -12.84%
Mare POT -14.08%
Entire POT -13.79%
Gelding POT -10.72%

RaceCensus Odds On Filters
Must be odds on favourite.
Eliminate Mares
Field Size greater than 9 runners
Eliminate Fast Tracks
Won last start
Less than four runs since spell

Selections: 920
Winners: 519
Strike Rate: 56.41%
POT -4.65% @ Tote prices.

Hi chrome, did racing at metro make any diffrence

Odds On Favourites Metro
Selections: 5,593
Winners: 2,954
Strike Rate: 52.82%
Loss On Turnover: 12.23%

Odds On Favourites Non Metro
Selections: 18,165
Winners: 9,565
Strike Rate: 52.66%
Loss On Turnover: 11.51%

Amazing
 

I really would have thought metro would have improved it.

Interestingly, I found this post from 2003 by osulldj:

ODDS ON FAVOURITES METRO ONLY, ALL DAYS SINCE 1/3/99 to 31/5/03 (4yrs 2 months)

Selections: 783
Wins: 412
SR% = 52.8%
POT = -10.4% on turnover

Interesting that after 10 years, since this was posted, the SR% hasn't changed a bit! The only thing that's increased over the years is the LOT, another 1.83%, and the LOT trend will probably keep sliding into the future. What do you put that down to, more people betting due to the advent of the WWW and online bookmakers?

RP

Im actually surprised the loss is that much, was expecting it to be around 6%

I'd imagine best tote loss would be around 5 or 6%

Chrome. Can you show a filter by price.

1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
1.50
1.60
1.70
1.80
1.90


?

<=$1.10 -8.74% POT
<=$1.20 -5.13% POT
<=$1.30 -7.64% POT
<=$1.40 -7.51% POT
<=$1.50 -8.20% POT
<=$1.60 -10.89% POT
<=$1.70 -11.43% POT
<=$1.80 -11.06% POT
<=$1.90 -11.67% POT

Hey Chrome
How did the Late "Old Dreamers " method go.

Bet Odds On Fav for a Place