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-   -   A Ripsnorter "Lay" System- With Results. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26546)

darkydog2002 27th May 2013 04:02 PM

A Ripsnorter "Lay" System- With Results.
 
The Rule.

Any horse that ran 33 or 44 in past 2 starts in current campaign.

Results 19/5 - 27/5

102 Bets/ 1 win @$2.45.

Rinconpaul 27th May 2013 05:47 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
The Rule.

Any horse that ran 33 or 44 in past 2 starts in current campaign.

Results 19/5 - 27/5

102 Bets/ 1 win @$2.45.

Good one Darky, be rare for two losses in a row too, so recovery staking plan an option.
RP

enjay 27th May 2013 06:42 PM

How about these..:-

LAY: 19/05/2013 WARWICK FARM (WAF)
SR 1 # 9 5x44 VISION SPLENDID 24.0 WON 3.60 PL 1.70
LAY: 19/05/2013 MT GAMBIER (MTG)
XR 2 # 3 x244 MANNERTONE 5.5 WON 5.80 PL 1.70

LAY: 25/05/2013 MACKAY (MAC)
XR 1 # 3 6233 WOODPARK ROAD 1.9 WON 2.40 PL 1.50
LAY: 19/05/2013 SUNSHINE COAST (SUN)
bR 6 # 1 x133 REQUIREMENT 7.0 WON 2.50 PL 1.40


Enjay

Rinconpaul 28th May 2013 07:27 AM

Twins 2
 
Darkydog was dispatched a fatal blow by "Zoro" aka Enjay..!!! lol. or was he ???

Well Darky, there might be a method in your madness. On the "Black Day", the 19th May, let's use your technique but broaden it a little:

Lay all horses on the 19th of May that had a PAIR of TWIN placings last two starts of current campain:
1,1 ..........7 wins 1 accident
2,2 ..........7 wins 1 accident
3,3 ..........3 wins 1 accident
4,4 ..........5 wins 2 accidents
5,5 ..........1 win
6,6 ..........3 wins
7,7 ..........2 wins
8,8 ..........3 wins 1 accident
9,9 ..........2 wins
0,0 ..........5 wins

If Layed for a $100 liability a nett profit on the day of $130.23 !!
2.9% POT. Don't give up just yet Darky!

Remember Enjay having a few losses is "part & parcel", doesn't mean you've lost at the end of the day.

Onya Darky,
RP

darkydog2002 28th May 2013 10:02 AM

Nice try Norm BUT never happened.

darkydog2002 28th May 2013 10:12 AM

28/5/013
 
Lets see if Norm (with his "Magical Spectacles ") get any more than these.

Gosford
R 2 H 1
Grafton
R 6 H 4
Townsville
R 3 H 6

stugots 28th May 2013 10:35 AM

I'm confused DD as those nags listed by enjay won, so am I missing something?

demodocus 28th May 2013 11:07 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
The Rule.
Any horse that ran 33 or 44 in past 2 starts in current campaign.
Results 19/5 - 27/5
102 Bets/ 1 win @$2.45.

Using "The Rule" over 12 years.

35,742 occurences. 13.5% Win Strike Rate. 86.5% Lay Rate. Average Win Price (AAP) $5.33.

Regards,

SpeedyBen 28th May 2013 11:29 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
Using "The Rule" over 12 years.

35,742 occurences. 13.5% Win Strike Rate. 86.5% Lay Rate. Average Win Price (AAP) $5.33.

Regards,
So, about 3000 selections per year with a lay profit of about 15% at estimated BF prices. Not bad.

Rinconpaul 28th May 2013 11:42 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
Using "The Rule" over 12 years.

35,742 occurences. 13.5% Win Strike Rate. 86.5% Lay Rate. Average Win Price (AAP) $5.33.

Regards,
Demodocus,
You've told us what the Average Win price is for the 4,825 times the selection Won. What is the average Lay price for the 30,916 times it lost? OR is $5.33 the average price (What, Tote, BF, SP ??) for all 35,742 horses?
Interested to know as it might refine Speedy's profit downwards.
RP


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