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thekey 16th April 2003 08:07 AM

Are there any league punters out there?

I'm not, well not yet anyway.

But I have come up with a rating method which I wish to publicly test. I have no idea how it will go and I must stress I will NOT be backing these selections nor would I suggest anybody else do so. I simply believe that the best way to test it is to hang it all out in public and expect the worst.

Each week I will endeavour to post the bets for the weekend and will track the results here. I will use the straight ratings only with no personal thoughts to select the bets, however if this is still going come origin time I reserve the right to leave alone matches involving teams missing key players.

Any comments from anybody, constructive criticism included, would be welcome.


thekey 16th April 2003 08:11 AM

Last round

There would have been 5 bets for 4 wins
outlay 9units
in 15.06
P/L +6.06

Three of these winners were not favourites and in fact were not even my selection but were over the odds. At this stage it is far to early to have any idea about the merits of this.

I will not include these results in the running total as they were not posted prior to the matches.

thekey 16th April 2003 04:16 PM

First Live Selections

Round 6
Team Bet(units) Price

Roosters 3 1.40 WON

Melbourne 2 2.10 LOST

Sharks 1 2.55 LOST

Outlay 6
In 4.2
P/L -1.8
Progress -1.8

Close in a couple that lost but no cigar.

[ This Message was edited by: thekey on 2003-04-20 16:48 ]

thekey 24th April 2003 06:14 PM

Seen as everybody is so excited by this I thought I would post again.

Round 7

Tigers 0.5 @ 6.85 LOST

Melbourne 2 @ 1.83 LOST

Penrith 0.5 @ 5.15 WON!

Couple of roughies here that are by no means my selection to win the match but represent good value by my ratings. We'll see how they go.

OUT 3
IN 2.58
P/L -0.42

Prog
2/6 33%
OUT 9
P/L -2.22

Still losing but it is early days yet.

[ This Message was edited by: thekey on 2003-04-27 16:28 ]

thekey 30th April 2003 03:05 PM

Round 8 Bets

Roosters 4 @ 1.40 WON
Sharks 1 @ 2.90 LOST
Tigers 0.5 @ 4.55 (despite last week!)THRASHED AGAIN
Manly 1 @ 2.70 LOST BY A POINT

Out 6.5
In 5.6
P/l -0.9

Progress
Out 15.5
P/L -3.12

Unless anybody shows any interest in this I will give up posting and keep these dubious tips to myself.

[ This Message was edited by: thekey on 2003-05-04 21:18 ]


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