Profitable Value Lays on Betfair
 

Ive started putting together some live streams around lays. Might be worth posting here if anyone is interested.

13/07/24 Caulfield 1 8
13/07/24 Caulfield 5 19
13/07/24 Caulfield 9 2
13/07/24 Randwick 3 11
13/07/24 Randwick 3 13
13/07/24 Randwick 4 15
13/07/24 Randwick 7 14

Don't feel right putting a link directly to the page but if you are interested in the analysis you can find it on my channel winningsportsbettingadvice on youtube.

lays
 

Good to see you posting UB, and 100% S/R. Re: MR5-19, no way could I lay that one though got shuffled back last run, and 3 runs prior as follows:

2nd last run beaten .5 length
3rd last run beaten 1.6 lengths
4th last run beaten 2.6 lengths

and Jye Mcneil on board today

easy after the race eh?

I find the method I use is good enough to get a few % profits over time but its slow progress.

Apologies I forgot to post todays ones here but they were online in the live stream before the races:

14/07/24 Wodonga 1 3
14/07/24 Wodonga 2 13
14/07/24 Wodonga 6 8
14/07/24 Wodonga 7 8
14/07/24 Wodonga 7 12
14/07/24 Wodonga 8 11
14/07/24 Ballarat 1 2
14/07/24 Ballarat 4 12
14/07/24 Ballarat 4 13
14/07/24 Grafton 1 15
14/07/24 Grafton 1 16
14/07/24 Grafton 1 17
14/07/24 Grafton 4 10
14/07/24 Grafton 4 15
14/07/24 Grafton 5 14
14/07/24 Grafton 6 21
14/07/24 Grafton 7 18

Quite a few of these were above my maximum odds . But even without that sitting at 100% Strike Rate still (you would expect that with these odds so that isn't exactly a flex lol ).

and again
 

100% again SB, just what I expect.

Difference between us is that I'm looking for long shots that could win, whereas you're looking for long shots that can't.

Pretty much, and both ways work.

usually
 

well, I've had a few spectacular wins especially with BF, but it can be a long time between drinks, I suspect in your case the opposite?

yep steady profits and then a short time of absolutely horrible runs that give back a good percentage but overall it works for me and I make a long term profit.

For those interested here is the analysis for todays races which was live streamed today:

https://youtube.com/live/ILDpmz_x6yE?feature=share

Laying for $30 each on these ones:

20/07/24 Rosehill 2 10
20/07/24 Rosehill 2 16
20/07/24 Rosehill 2 19
20/07/24 Rosehill 5 13
20/07/24 Rosehill 6 5
20/07/24 Rosehill 6 8
20/07/24 Rosehill 6 10
20/07/24 Flemington 1 8
20/07/24 Flemington 1 9
20/07/24 Flemington 3 9
20/07/24 Flemington 3 15
20/07/24 Flemington 8 15
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 4 14
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 5
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 7
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 14
20/07/24 Morphettville 2 13
20/07/24 Morphettville 2 15
20/07/24 Morphettville 5 6
20/07/24 Morphettville 7 14
20/07/24 Belmont 1 7
20/07/24 Belmont 1 4
20/07/24 Belmont 5 14
20/07/24 Belmont 6 9

The live stream has the max odds which I would take.

Well 100% strike rate so far (not surprising with the odds so don't read anything into that yet).

Results and analysis into todays selections and a look at some Jockey stuff:

https://youtube.com/live/tzt1X-YbqFM?feature=share

Sundays selections

21/07/24 Pakenham 2 3
21/07/24 Pakenham 3 8
21/07/24 Pakenham 3 9
21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 3 13
21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 5 12
21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 7 19
21/07/24 Hawksberry 4 3
21/07/24 Grafton 1 9
21/07/24 Grafton 1 10
21/07/24 Grafton 8 19